Free College Football Picks For Today 10/5/2021
Florida St vs. North Carolina Pick Prediction 10/9/2021
Florida St at North Carolina—College football pick is North Carolina Tar Heels -17. Seminoles in their lone road game was blown out at Wake Forest 35-14 surrendering 484 yards to the Demon Deacons. There was no bounced back the following week as they dropped a 31-23 decision to Louisville. Florida St defensively this year is giving up 410 yards per game with 256 in the passing game. They have struggled to protect Jordan Travis with 3.4 sacks per game. They are also surrendering 2.6 turnovers a game. North Carolina a strong offensive team that puts up 497 yards per game with 187 rushing for 4.9 per attempt. Quarterback Sam Howell is completing 62.1% of his throws averaging 9.8 yards per pass attempt. Travis averaged only 4.1 yards per pass attempt in their three point win to Syracuse. Play North Carolina -17.
Michigan St vs. Rutgers Pick Prediction 10/9/2021
Michigan St at Rutgers—College football free pick is Michigan St Spartans -5. Michigan St was able to avoid the trap and got past Western Kentucky last week 48-31 behind 519 yards. They do have to impressive road wins with a 21 point win at Miami and by 17 at Northwestern. Spartans moving the football for 466 yards with 210 in the ground game for 5.6 yards per rush. Quarterback Payton Thorne is completing 63.1% of his throws leading a passing attack that averages 255 yards passing for 9.3 yards per pass attempt. Rutgers faced a gauntlet having to play Michigan, Ohio St and Michigan St in three straight games. Offensively Rutgers generates only 350 yards with 3.6 per rush and 6.4 per pass attempt. Scarlet Knights defense was crushed for 541 yards at home to Ohio St last week. Play Michigan St -5.
UCONN vs. UMASS Pick Prediction 10/9/2021
UCONN at UMASS—Free pick is Connecticut Huskies -3.5. UCONN has shown the more improvement. The come off two point loss to Wyoming and Vanderbilt. Last week in the loss at the Commodores, the Huskies were able to move the football for 523 yards. Quarterback Steven Krajewski was able to throw for 264 yards and 7.8 yards per pass attempt against an SEC defense last week. UMASS crushed past two games losing 53-3 at Coastal Carolina and 45-7 home to Toledo last week failing to cover. They were held to 165 yards to the Chanticleers and 134 to the Rockets. On the year the Minutemen surrendering 521 yards per game, 5.7 yards per rush and 9.8 yards per pass attempt. Play UCONN -3.5.
Wake Forest vs. Syracuse Pick Prediction 10/9/2021
Wake Forest at Syracuse—College football pick is Syracuse Orange +7. Orange have been a good cover team successful four of five times. Syracuse defense is holding opponents to 284 yards per game, 3.2 per rush and 6.2 yards per pass attempt. Do respect the Orange’s 24-21 home win to Liberty as an underdog. Demon Deacons could not separate enough last week in a 37-34 home win to Louisville as they surrendered 522 yards to the Cardinals. They did give up 506 yards to Virginia the week prior. Play Syracuse +7.
East Carolina vs. UCF Pick Prediction 10/9/2021
East Carolina at UCF—College football free pick is East Carolina Pirates +10. Pirates carry a three game win streak with a win at Marshall and a 33 point home win to Tulane. East Carolina has shown improvement offensively as in this period averaging 520 yards with 208 rushing for 5.4 yards per rush. Quarterback Holton Ahlers averaged 311 yards passing in this period for 8.5 yards per pass attempt. UCF defense has struggled during their two game losing streak allowing 386 yards to Navy in a four point home loss and 501 yards to Louisville in a seven point defense. They have not covered this year against an FBS opponent. Knights have lost quarterback Dillon Gabriel to a shoulder injury. Backup Mikey Keene is completing 60.6% of his throws averaging 8 yards per pass attempt. Play East Carolina +10.
Maryland vs. Ohio St Pick Prediction 10/9/2021
Maryland at Ohio St—Free pick is Maryland Terrapins +21. Maryland was shut down by a strong defensive team in Iowa last week. They faced a softer defense in Ohio St in this spot. Terrapins have shown ability offensively as they move the football for 469 yards with 152 rushing for 4.6 per attempt. Quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa is completing 72.2% of his passes for an offense that averages 317 yards and 8.4 per attempt. Ohio St defensively is surrendering 397 yards a game with 251 passing. Buckeyes had struggles separating enough to cover against Tulsa at home giving up 501 yards and an outright loss to Oregon where they allowed 505 yards. Rutgers is offensively challenged. Play Maryland +21.
Akron vs. Bowling Green Pick Prediction 10/9/2021
Akron at Bowling Green—College football pick is Akron Zips +14. Both teams are much improved from last season. Zips are moving the football for 329 yards. Quarterback DJ Irons is completing 69.2% of his passes. He has show ability filling in for an injured Kato Nelson who could return this week. Bowling Green has a home loss to South Alabama held to 19 points. Falcons in their games against FBS opponents have been held to no greater than 20 points. Their offense moves the football for 279 yards with 1.9 per rush. Quarterback Matt McDonald leads a Bowling Green passing attack averages 6.3 per attempt. Play Akron +14.
Northern Illinois vs. Toledo Pick Prediction 10/9/2021
Northern Illinois at Toledo—College football free pick is Northern Illinois +12.5. Huskies are an improve team. Their run game has returned as Northern Illinois averages 221 rushing yards for 5.1 yards per rush. Recent games Toledo has put up only 6 in a home loss to Colorado ST and 22 at Ball St. Toledo has done a poor job of quarterback protection and a highly penalized team surrendering 91 penalty yards per game. NIU does a good job in pass protection and have converted all of their red zone opportunities. Play Northern Illinois +12.5.
Buffalo vs. Kent St Pick Prediction 10/9/2021
Buffalo at Kent St—Free pick is Kent Golden Flashes -5. Buffalo is a rebuilding team with an experienced quarterback. They have averaged 290 yards in their past two games facing Old Dominion and Western Michigan. Kent played a tough non-conference schedule facing Texas A&M, Iowa and Maryland. Now facing MAC teams Golden Flashes quarterback Dustin Crum will play to his past form of completing around 70% of his passes for a lot of yardage. Bulls defense is allowing 8.7 yards per pass attempt. Play Kent -5.
Georgia Tech vs. Duke Pick Prediction 10/9/2021
Georgia Tech at Duke—College football pick is Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -3.5. Prefer the defense of the Yellow Jackets and their ability to bounce back from defeat. Duke is surrendering 429 yards on the year with 256 yards for 8.3 yards per pass attempt. Yellow Jackets have done a good job defending the run at 3.6 per attempt. Georgia Tech near completion of transitioning personnel from triple option to modern defense did blow out Duke last year 56-33 behind 523 yards and 377 on the ground. Blue Devils had faced a weak schedule until they traveled to North Carolina and lost 38-7. They do have a loss at Charlotte. Play Georgia Tech -3.5.
Ball St vs. Western Michigan Pick Prediction 10/9/2021
Ball St at Western Michigan—College football free pick is Ball St Cardinals +11. Ball St has covered three straight against the Broncos including a three point win last year. Their past three meetings have been decided by four points or fewer. Ball St defending MAC champions have a lot of starters back from that team. They beat a good Army team last week. Quarterback Drew Plitt showed accuracy in all three seasons leading up to 2021. His past two starts were both season high in passing yardage and threw for a season high 8.3 yards per pass attempt against the Black Knights. Western Michigan a seven point win at rebuilding Buffalo last week and has a recent three point road win at Pittsburgh. With that still believe this to be a one possession game with Ball St offense showing improvement. Play Ball St +11.
Middle Tennessee St vs. Liberty Pick Prediction 10/9/2021
Middle Tennessee St at Liberty—Free pick is Liberty Flames -19.5. Middle Tennessee St has lost three of four against FBS opponents. Blue Raiders in their step up games have a 35-14 loss at Virginia Tech and 27-13 at UTSA. At the Roadrunners Middle Tennessee St was held to 199 yards. Liberty bounced back from a loss at Syracuse by blowing out UAB on the road 36-12 behind 544 yards. Flames quarterback Malik Willis is completing 71% of his passes leading a Liberty passing attack that averages 10.7 yards per rush. Blue Raiders are allowing 256 passing per game and has struggled getting off the field on third down with 11% conversion rate. On offense they are not that much better converting third down’s 27.3% of the time. Play Liberty -19.5.