WNBA Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Game 3 10/3/2021 Picks

WNBA Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Game 3 10/3/2021 Picks Predictions Previews

The Phoenix Mercury are hosting the Las Vegas Aces at the Mich Footprint Center in Phoenix on Sunday, October 3, at 15:00 in Game 3 of the second WNBA Semifinal. This series is also tied 1-1 wins after the first couple of games in Las Vegas. The Aces won the opening game of the series, but the Mercury bounced back big time in the second game and took an easy 26-point road victory by scoring 117 points and stealing the home court advantage.

The Mercury finished the regular season with a 19-13 record and were 18-13-1 against the spread and 14-17-1 in over/under. They are coming off a road victory against the Las Vegas Aces with a 91-117 score, beating the odds. They destroyed their opponents from the start of the game, scoring 37 points in the opening quarter alone and taking a 17-point lead and never looking back for an easy win. They shot with 61% from the field and 54% from downtown and were led in scoring by an amazing Diana Taurasi with 37 points. She made a grand total of 8 triples and added 6 rebounds, while Brittney Griner added 25 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists.

Taurasi leads the team in scoring in the postseason with 23.7 ppg, adding 5 rebounds and 4 assists per game. Griner adds 22 ppg and team-highs both in rebounding with 10 and in assists made with 5.3 per game.

Phoenix has the best offense in the playoffs with 93.8 ppg but the third-worse defense, allowing 87.3 ppg. They have the second-best field goal percentage with 47.3% and a 36.4% 3-point percentage. They are 4-1 against the spread in their previous five matches. Their last three games have been over the total.

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WNBA Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Game 3 Predictions 10/3/2021

The Aces finished the regular season with a 24-8 record and were 16-15-1 against the spread and 19-13 in over/under. They are coming off a home defeat against the Phoenix Mercury with a 91-117 score, not beating the odds. They played extremely poor defense, as they allowed their opponents to score 68 first half points. They had six players in double digit scoring, led by Kelsey Plum with 25 points off the bench. She also added 3 assists, while Riquina Williams added 17 points.

Plum leads the team in scoring in the postseason with 25 ppg, adding 3 assists per game. Williams follows with 21.5 ppg.

The Aces have the second-best offense in the playoffs, scoring 93.5 ppg but they have the worse defense, allowing 103.5 ppg. They have the best field goal percentage with 50.7% and the third-best 3-point percentage with 37.1%. They are 1-4 against the spread in their previous five matches. Over is 6-2 in their previous eight matches.

Las Vegas leads Phoenix 3-2 wins so far this season and have won both games on the road with 83-84 and with 79-85. The Mercury are 9-1-1 against the spread in their previous 11 matches. Over is 9-2 in their previous 11 meetings. The Mercury have a 8-9 home record, while the Aces are 11-5 on the road. Both Phoenix games this season have been under the total and the 171.5 line feels too high, so I’m going to pick under the total today.

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