Free NFL Picks For Today 10/3/2021
Indianapolis Colts vs. Miami Dolphins Pick Prediction 10/3/2021
Colts at Dolphins—NFL pick is Indianapolis Colts +2.5. Media reports have indicated that Carson Wentz looked better in practice leading up to the Dolphins game. This is a desperate 0-3 Colts team entering Miami who will be utilizing a backup quarterback. Dolphins have lost two straight surrendering 35 points to the Bills and 31 to the Raiders. In the loss to Las Vegas, Miami surrendered 497 yards. Offensive numbers have been weaker on the Dolphins side gaining 259 on New England, 216 to Buffalo and 330 against a weak Raiders defense. Passing offense for Miami is generating only 4.4 per attempt. Play Indianapolis +2.5.
Houston Texans vs. Buffalo Bills Pick Prediction 10/3/2021
Texans at Bills—NFL free pick is Houston Texans at Buffalo Bills to play under the total of 47 points. Houston will have a difficult time scoring on the Buffalo defense. Backup Davis Mills under center last week for the Texans they generated only 193 yards, 9 points and 1 of 9 conversions on third down. Mills got no help from his run game that produced 42 yards on 17 carries. He averaged just 6 yards per pass attempt. Rain and wind are in the forecast as fall weather now has hit the country. Bills are defending well limiting the opposition to 252 yards 3.4 per rush and 5.3 yards per pass attempt. With tough road games at KC and Tennessee coming up expect the Bills to get a big lead and milk clock in the fourth quarter. Play Houston and Buffalo under 47.
Carolina Panthers vs. Dallas Cowboys Pick Prediction 10/3/2021
Panthers at Cowboys—Free pick is Dallas Cowboys -4. Two key injuries for the Panthers as Christian McCaffrey expected out for this game and rookie cornerback Jaycee Horn is out with a broken foot. Cowboys are moving the football for 416 yards and getting production from a ground game that generates 4.6 per attempt. Quarterback Dak Prescott is completing 77.5% of his passed for the Cowboys passing attack averaging 277 yards and 7.5 per pass attempt. Past two games Cowboys defense held the Chargers and Eagles to two touchdowns each. Panthers face a major test here after facing the Texas and Jets. Panthers running for only 3.4 per carry. Then they faced the Saints missing several coaches and players to COVID. Play Dallas -4.
Tennessee Titans vs. New York Jets Pick Prediction 10/3/2021
Titans at Jets—NFL pick is Tennessee Titans and New York Jets under the total of 44.5. Titans dealing with key injuries to their offense as both starting receivers A.J. Brown and Julio Jones are out. Derrick Henry will be featured a lot in this game as the leads a running attack for the Titans that averages 4.8 per rush. It has been a struggled for Jets rookie quarterback Zach Wilson. His team generates only 250 yards of offense with 3.9 per rush. Wilson is completing 55.2% of his passes for a Jets passing attack that averages 4.9 per attempt. Past two games New York was held to six and no points to the Patriots and Broncos. Jets defense are holding opponents to 328 yards and have done a good job getting off the field on third down at 29.7%% conversions allowed. Titans do give up a lot of sacks and sack yardage which are drive killers. Play New York and Tennessee under 44.5.
Cleveland Browns vs. Minnesota Vikings Pick Prediction 10/3/2021
Browns at Vikings—NFL free pick is Cleveland Browns and Minnesota Vikings to play over the total of 51.5 points. These are two good offensive teams playing a dome. It is an AFC vs. NFC matchup which favors the offenses as these teams meet only one every four years. Cleveland has balance to their offense rushing for 5.1 yards per carry. Quarterback Baker Mayfield is completing 73.8% of his passes for a career high 9.8 yards per pass attempt. He is facing a Vikings defense that gives up 409 yards, 4.8 yards per rush along with 9.2 yards per pass attempt. Good news for Minnesota is their running back Dalvin Cook looked good in practice and is looking like he will return. Vikings are running for 4.6 per attempt. Quarterback Kirk Cousins is completing 73.9% of his throws for 7.7 yards per pass attempt. Vikings have scored 30 or greater points past two games. In their home opener they piled up 434 yards and 313 passing on Seattle. Play Cleveland and Minnesota over 51.5.
Washington Football Team vs. Atlanta Falcons Pick Prediction 10/3/2021
Washington at Atlanta—Free pick is Atlanta Falcons +1.5. Washington Football Team is perceived to be a good defensive team. That isn’t showing up in the numbers as the team is giving up 432 yards per game with 307 passing with 70% completion rate. They are also below average in sacks and don’t force turnovers. Backup up quarterback Taylor Heinicke in his first road game of the year completed 58.8% of his passes throwing two interceptions. Football Team run game producing only 3.9 yards per carry. Falcons did post a win last week on the road to the Giants. Falcons did show the ability under Matt Ryan at quarterback to get back into the game at Tampa Bay with 293 yards passing before mistakes haunted them. Prefer going with the veteran quarterback at home against the backup in back to back road games. Play Atlanta +1.5.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles Pick Prediction 10/3/2021
Chiefs at Eagles—NFL pick is Kansas City Chiefs -6.5. Will back the Chiefs to bounce back after back to back losses. Offense generates 413 yards running for 4.5 per attempt. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes is completing 70.3% of his throws with 8.5 yards per pass attempt. Eagles defense was torched by Dallas on Monday night in a 41-21 loss. The offense produced two touchdowns late when they are hopelessly behind. Quarterback Jalen Hurts threw two touchdowns and was ineffective while the game was in reach for three quarters. Eagles are a highly penalized team and has struggled in the red zone. Despite their struggles the Chiefs have been good on third down. Play Kansas City -6.5.
Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Pick Prediction 10/3/2021
Lions at Bears—NFL free pick is Detroit Lions +3. Bears were held to 47 yards last week in their 20 points loss at Cleveland. Looks like Justin Fields is healthy enough to get the start. Fields is completing 40% of his throws for only 3.9 yards per pass attempt. On the year the Bears are averaging only 191 yards of offense wit 90 in the passing game. Detroit showed competitiveness in their loss to the Ravens as Baltimore needed a game winning and record setting field goal to beat them. Lions are a desperate 0-3 team. Lions are moving the football for 353 yards. Quarterback Jared Goff is completing 70% of his passes for a passing attack averaging 247 yards per game. Play Detroit +3.
New York Giants vs. New Orleans Saints Pick Prediction 10/3/2021
Giants at Saints—Free pick is New Orleans Saints -7. New Orleans first true home game of the season as they were forced to relocate to Jacksonville following the hurricane. They were able to get players back from COVID last week and the result was a 28-13 win at New England. Saints have defended well on the year holding opponents to 304 yards per game with 2.8 on the ground. New York has struggled defending the pass this year allowing 267 yards with 75.4% completion rate. That is the key to the game plus the crowd noise Giants quarterback Daniel Jones and his offense will face in front of a frenzied crowd in New Orleans. Play Saints -7.
Arizona Cardinals vs. LA Rams Pick Prediction 10/3/2021
Cardinals at Rams—NFL pick is Arizona Cardinals +4.5. Arizona a strong offensive team putting up 432 yards. They have won and covered both of their road games. Quarterback Kyler Murray is completing 76.5% of his throws with 9.9 yards per pass attempt. Cardinals defense is holding opposing quarterbacks to 5.9 yards per pass attempt. Murray has two strong targets in the passing game in DeAndre Hopkins and AJ Green. Respect the Rams on both sides of the football but this is the best Cardinals team since their Super Bowl team. Tough divisional battle so if the game lands four of three taking the points wins no matter who wins. Play Arizona +4.5.
Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers Pick Prediction 10/3/2021
Seahawks at 49ers—NFL free pick is Seattle Seahawks +2.5. 49ers keep getting hit with injuries on both sides of the football. They are hurting at running back and in the secondary. Tight end George Kittle has an ankle injury and questionable. Seahawks trying to avoid a 1-3 hole in this spot. Seattle moves the football for 389 yards and getting production from a ground game that averages 5.1 per attempt. Russell Wilson is completing 73.3% of his passes for an outstanding 10.4 yards per pass attempt. San Francisco injuries at running back impacting a run game that averages 3.6 per attempt. Play Seattle +2.5.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Denver Broncos Pick Prediction 10/3/2021
Ravens at Broncos—Free pick is Denver Broncos +1.5. Lamar Jackson was banged up with a back injury and returned to practice on Friday. Teddy Bridgewater has been effective in his career when surrounded by talent as seen in his time with New Orleans filling in for an injured Drew Brees. Bridgewater is completing 76.8% of his passes with 8.7 yards per pass attempt. Ravens defensive allowing 314 yards passing with 68% completion rate with three of their four starters in the secondary listed as questionable. Play Denver +1.5.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Green Bay Packers Pick Prediction 10/3/2021
Steelers at Packers—NFL pick is Green Bay Packers -6. Steelers back to back losses all at home as the offense generated only 17 points to the Raiders and 10 last week against division rival Cincinnati Bengals. Steelers run game not helping Big Ben as they run for only 3.2 yards per rush. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is showing his age at 39 as he completed 63.8% of his passes for an offense that averages 5.9 yards per pass attempt. Aaron Rodgers completing 68.2% of his throws. He has come up with good back to back performances against the Lions and 49ers. Steelers defense is allowing 266 yards passing with 68% completion rate. Play Green Bay -6.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New England Patriots Pick Prediction 10/3/2021
Buccaneers at Patriots—NFL free pick is New England Patriots +7. Concern is about the Tampa Bay defense that is surrendering 402 yards per game. Teams have been successful picking on the Buccaneers secondary. On the season Tampa Bay is allowing 402 yards with 338 in the passing game, 72% completion rate and 9.8 yards per pass attempt. Patriots have defended well holding opponents to 282 yards, 59.3% completion rate and 5.9 yards per pass attempt. No one knows Tom Brady better than Bill Belichick. The run game for Tampa Bay producing 3.5 per attempt. Gronkowski is out with broken ribs and also out is Jason Pierre-Paul.