WNBA Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Game 1 9/28/2021 Picks

WNBA Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Game 1 9/28/2021 Picks Predictions Previews

The Las Vegas Aces are hosting Phoenix Mercury at the Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas on Tuesday, September 28, at 22:00 in Game 1 of the second WNBA Semifinal. The Aces are 7-1 in their previous eight matches and finished in the first place of the West and the second of the whole league. The Mercury have back-to-back wins, both in the playoffs and managed to eliminate the defending champions in the second round.

The Aces finished the regular season with a 24-8 record and are 16-15-1 against the spread and 19-13 in over/under. They are coming off a road victory against the Phoenix Mercury with an 84-83 score, not beating the odds. Kelsey Plum led the team in scoring off the bench with a game-high 23 points. She also added 3 rebounds, while Riquina Williams added 13 points.

A’Ja Wilson leads the team both in scoring with 18.3 ppg and in rebounding with 9.3, adding 3.1 assists per game. Kelsey Plum follows with 14.8 ppg and 3.6 assists per game.

Las Vegas has the best offense in the league, scoring 89.3 ppg while allowing 80.2 ppg defensively. They have the best field goal percentage with 47.2% and the second-best 3-point percentage with 37.5%. They are 4-5 against the spread in their previous nine matches. Over is 4-2 in their previous six matches.

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WNBA Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Game 1 Predictions 9/28/2021

The Mercury finished the regular season with a 19-13 record and are 18-13-1 against the spread and 14-17-1 in over/under. They are coming off a road victory against the Seattle Storm with an 85-80 score in overtime, beating the odds and eliminating them. They had a very poor offensive performance, making just 41% of their shots from the field and 28% from downtown. All of their starters scored double digits, led by Brittney Griner with a game-high 23 points. She also added a game-high 16 rebounds and 4 assists, while Skylar Diggins-Smith added 20 points, 7 rebounds and a game-high 6 assists.

Diggins-Smith leads the team both in scoring with 21 ppg and in assists made with 5.5, adding 5.5 rebounds per game. Brittney Griner adds 19.5 ppg and a team-high 13 rebounds per game.

The Mercury had the fifth-best offense in the regular season with 82.1 ppg and the fourth-best defense with 79.5 ppg. They have a 45% field goal percentage and a 34.6% 3-point percentage. They are 2-5 against the spread in their previous seven matches. Under is 4-2 in their previous six matches.

Las Vegas led Phoenix 2-1 wins during the regular season, with each team winning on the road. Phoenix won the only road matchup with a 90-99 score in overtime. They are 7-1-1 against the spread in their previous nine matches. Over is 7-2 in their previous nine meetings. The Aces have a 13-3 home record, while the Mercury are 13-4 on the road. Phoenix is coming off a huge win that eliminated the defending champions so I’m going to pick them to beat the odds tonight.

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