Free College Football Picks For Today 9/28/2021
Virginia vs. Miami Pick Prediction 9/30/2021
Virginia at Miami—College football pick is Miami Hurricanes -4. Virginia defense has struggled the past two games in ACC conference play giving up 474 yards to Wake Forest and 699 yards to North Carolina. Cavaliers surrendering 5.2 yards per rush along with 8 yards per pass attempt. Reports are that Hurricanes quarterback D’Eriq King is on the right track to return on Thursday in this ACC clash after sitting out in the team’s win against an FCS opponent. Hurricanes are holding opponents to 3.4 yards per rush. Miami has won five of their previous six meetings. Brennan Armstrong for Virginia completed only 55.9% of his passes in the loss to Wake Forest. Play Miami -4.
Houston Cougars vs. Tulsa Hurricane Pick Prediction 10/1/2021
Houston at Tulsa—College football free pick is Houston Cougars +3.5. Houston showing improvement defensively holding opponents to 247 yards per game. They have been very good getting off the field on third down. Clayton Tune has been accurate competing 71.4% of his passes. Concern here about the Tulsa defense that is allowing 247 yards per game, 65.3% completion rate and 8 yards per pass attempt. Play Houston +3.5.
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins Pick Prediction 10/1/2021
Hawkeyes at Terrapins—Free pick is Maryland Terrapins +4. Iowa a strong defensive team but below average offense. Hawkeyes on the year is putting up 293 yards a game with 3.3 yards per rush and 6.3 yards per pass attempt. Quarterback Spencer Petras completed 57.1% of his passes last year and only 59.8% on the current season. Maryland has moved the football effectively with 519 yards per game with 4.5 per rush. Quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa is completing 75.5% of his throws with ten touchdowns and one pick. Terrapins are averaging 9.3 yards per pass attempt and have put up good defensive performances. Play Maryland +4.
BYU Cougars vs. Utah St Aggies Pick Prediction 10/1/2021
BYU at Utah St—College football pick is BYU Cougars -7.5. Utah St had difficulty against a physical opponent in Boise St losing 27-3. Aggies turned it over three times and had trouble sustaining drives with 6 of 17 on third down. It is a six game win streak dating to last year for BYU. Cougars a balanced offense rushing for 4.7 yards per carry and doing a good job of converting third downs. Utah St defense surrendering 463 yards with 200 on the ground for 5.2 yards per carry. Kalani Sitake is confident about starting quarterback Jaren Hall returning. Hall has faced three PAC 12 teams and has thrown seven touchdowns and two picks. He has shown the ability to run the football. Three wins against PAC 12 teams for the Cougars including Arizona St and Utah. Play BYU -7.5.
Toledo Rockets vs. Massachusetts Minutemen Pick Prediction 10/2/2021
Toledo at UMASS—College football free pick is Toledo Rockets -26.5. UMASS defense has been poor again this season allowing 538 yards and 47.8 points per game. Toledo is an experienced offensive team. They have defended well on the year as they held the defending MAC champ Ball St to 12 points and 312 yards. Rockets quarterback Carter Bradley is completing 62% of his passes for a passing attack that averages 8 yards per pass attempt. Play Toledo -26.5.
Duke vs. North Carolina Pick Prediction 10/2/2021
Duke at North Carolina—Free pick is Duke and North Carolina to play over the total of 70.5. These are two offenses averaging over 500 yards per game. Each have a good running attack with the Blue Devils posting 5.5 yards per carry and North Carolina at 5.3. At home the Tar Heels posted 59 points to Georgia St and Virginia with over 600 yards gained. Defensively Duke is allowing 422 yards with 7.9 yards per pass attempt. Tar Heels quarterback Sam Howell completing nearly 70% of his passes at home. Duke quarterback Gunnar Holmberg is completing 72% of his throws. Past two games Tar Heels defense allowed 45 to Georgia Tech and 39 to Virginia. Play Duke and North Carolina over 70.5.
Syracuse vs. Florida St Pick Prediction 10/2/2021
Syracuse at Florida St—College football pick is Syracuse Orange +4.5. Syracuse and improved team winning three of four to start the season. They do have a notable three point home win to Liberty. Orange is led offensively with a run game generating 218 yards per game with 5.2 per attempt. Defensively they have held opponents to 261 yards and 2.3 per rush. Mississippi St transfer quarterback Garrett Shrader has shown the ability to make plays with his feet. Florida St still winless after an eight point home loss to Louisville. Seminoles have struggled getting points on the board at 23 per game and converting their third downs. McKenzie Milton a high volume passes who has been inefficient. In the loss to Louisville, Milton averaged only 6.4 yards per pass attempt. Play Syracuse +4.5.
Tulane vs. East Carolina Pick Prediction 10/2/2021
Tulane at East Carolina—College football free pick is Tulane Green Wave -4. Tulane can resort back to their ground game against the Pirates in this spot. Green Wave faced Oklahoma and Ole Miss in the non-conference. Pirates defense is surrendering 495 yards on the year with 168 on the ground for 4.5 yards per rush. Opponents are throwing for 327 yards and 8.6 per rush. Green Wave quarterback Michael Pratt was efficient in the defeat to Ole Miss. East Carolina quarterback Holton Ahlers has struggled throwing interceptions. Play Tulane -4.
Boston College vs. Clemson Pick Prediction 10/2/2021
Boston College at Clemson—Free pick is Boston College Eagles +16. Concern about the Clemson offense that is producing only 295 yards per game with 4.1 per rush. They lost a lot of their playmakers to the NFL. Quarterback D.J. Uiagalelei is completing only 56.3% of his throws leading a Tigers passing game averaging only 5.3 yards per pass attempt. BC is defending well on the year holding opponents to 290 yards and 3.2 per run. Eagles come off an overtime home win to Missouri posting 450 yards of offense. Boston College getting production from a ground game that rushes for 223 yards and 5.6 yards per attempt. That will help Dennis Grosel in the passing game completing 64.3% with 8.6 yards per pass attempt. Play Boston College +16.
Minnesota vs. Purdue Pick Prediction 10/2/2021
Minnesota at Purdue—College football pick is Purdue Boilermakers -2.5. Golden Gophers lost their lead running back in their opener to Ohio St. Not a fan of Golden Gophers quarterback Tanner Morgan who I feel holds back a good team and drops them to average. Morgan is completing only 52.8% of his throws. Purdue is moving the football for 407 yards. Quarterback Jack Plummer is completing 69.5% of his passes leading a Boilermakers offense that averages 314 yards and 7.3 yards per pass attempt. Purdue has held opponents to 3.7 yards per rush, 52.5% completion rate and 5.8 yards per pass attempt. Play Purdue -2.5.
Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Tech Pick Prediction 10/2/2021
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech—College football free pick is Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +3.5. Georgia Tech has shown improvement as the team is nearing the end of the transition from a triple option team to a modern passing one. They have covered three straight putting up good defensive performances at Clemson and to North Carolina on a neutral site. Georgia Tech is holding opponents to 3.4 yards per rush and 6.7 per pass attempt. Yellow Jackets have run the football for 200 yards and 4.7 per attempt. Quarterback Jeff Sims coming off a good performance in the win against North Carolina. Sims played in ten games as a freshman last year. Panthers have a recent loss to Western Michigan giving up 44 points and allowed 34 at a rebuilding Tennessee team on the road. Play Georgia Tech +3.5.
Louisiana Tech vs. NC State Pick Prediction 10/2/2021
Louisiana Tech at NC State—Free pick is Louisiana Tech +19.5. Louisiana Tech has been competitive in the non-conference covering in a two point home loss to SMU and a one point loss at Mississippi St. They have shown the ability to move the football for 397 yards with 269 in the passing game. Quarterback Austin Kendall expected back under center. Kendall has passed for 60.6% completion rate with an 8.6 yards per pass attempt against SMU in a recent game. NC State is coming off a win against Clemson in overtime. Against Mississippi St the Wolfpack were held to ten points and to fourteen regulation points against Clemson. Play Louisiana Tech +19.
Appalachian St vs. Georgia St Pick Prediction 10/2/2021
Appalachian St at Georgia St—College football pick is Appalachian St Mountaineers -10. App St has shown good offensive form on the year as they are putting up 476 yards per game with 205 on the ground for 4.9 yards per carry. Quarterback Chase Brice is completing 67.2% of his passes as he leads a passing attack that throws for 270 yards and 8.4 yards per pass attempt. Defensively they are limiting opponents to 361 yards per game and 3.7 per rush. Georgia St a running team running the football about 2/3rds of the time. Could be difficult to have success against Appalachian St defense. Panthers quarterback Darren Grainger is completing only 50% of his passes for 5.5 yards per pass attempt. Panthers have double digit losses to Auburn, North Carolina and Army. Team is allowing 8.8 yards per pass attempt defensively. Play Appalachian St -10.
Troy vs. South Carolina Pick Prediction 10/2/2021
Troy at South Carolina—College football free pick is Troy Trojans and South Carolina Gamecocks to play under the total of 45 points. These are two offenses that are struggling. Troy has been held to 21 points or fewer in all three games against FBS opponents. Recent losses saw the Trojans post 16 points on UL Monroe and 13 home to Liberty. Troy rushing for only 2.6 yards per carry. South Carolina has scored 20 or fewer points in their past three games as the offense is generating only 280 yards per game with 2.6 per rush in that period. Both defenses defending the run effectively. South Carolina quarterback Luke Doty completing 58.8% of his passe. Play Troy and South Carolina under 45.
Army vs. Ball St Pick Prediction 10/2/2021
Army at Ball St—Free pick is Army Black Knights -7.5. disappointing start to the season for the defending MAC champions Ball St Cardinals They have lost all three games against their FBS opponents as they have been held to 289 yards and 12.3 points per game. Run game generating 3 yards per carry and a poor 4.9 yards per pass attempt. Army 4-0 this season with their run game generating 344 yards per game with 5.2 per attempt. On the defensive side of the football the Black Knights have played well holding opponents to 277 yards and 2.7 yards per rush. Cardinals defense is allowing 190 yards rushing per game with 4.9 yards per rush attempt. Play Army -7.5.