Free NFL Picks For Today 9/26/2021
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Washington Football Team vs. Buffalo Bills Pick Prediction 9/26/2021
Washington at Bills—NFL pick is Buffalo Bills -7. Washington first road game of the season and will be utilizing a back up quarterback in Taylor Heinicke as Ryan Fitzpatrick out for two months with a hip injury. Football Team defense was heralded to be a strength of this team but they are surrendering 407 yards per game with 281 in the passing game. Giants were able to run for 163 yards on Washington for 5.8 yards per rush. Bills come off a strong performance at Miami as they pound the Dolphins on the road 35-0. Buffalo run game generated 4.7 yards per rush. They have been strong defensively holding opponents to 234 yards per game with 3.6 per rush and 4.2 per pass attempt. Play Buffalo -7.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans Pick Prediction 9/26/2021
Colts at Titans—NFL free pick is Tennessee Titans -5. Carson Wentz has been listed as a game time decision. He missed the final eight minutes in the loss to the Rams. He did participate in a limited practice but had both ankles heavily taped as he is suffering two sprained ankles with the right one in worst condition. Tennessee has a strong offensive showing rallying for a three point overtime win at Seattle posting 532 yards. Colts pass defense is surrendering 255 yards per game, 69.8% completion rate and 9.6 yards per pass attempt. Play Tennessee -5.
Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Giants Pick Prediction 9/26/2021
Falcons at Giants—Free pick is Atlanta Falcons +3. Falcons showed grit with a second half comeback against Tampa Bay but the game got away late with turnovers. Falcons were able to throw for 293 yards on the Buccaneers defense. They did convert three of four inside the red zone on the Bucs. Major step down in class for the Falcons facing the Giants in this spot. Was not impressed by New York surrendering 30 points with 407 yards to a Washington team utilizing a backup quarterback. New York dealing with injuries at wide receiver as Golladay is questionable as is tight end Engram. Saquon averaging 3.6 yards per carry coming off a major injury. Play Atlanta +3.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Detroit Lions Pick Prediction 9/26/2021
Ravens at Lions—NFL pick is Baltimore Ravens and Detroit Lions to play over the total of 50.5. Short week for an 0-2 Lions team that has allowed 41 points to San Francisco and 35 to Green Bay with each game going over. This is a short week for the Lions after their loss to the Packers. AFC vs. NFC game does favor the offenses as each defense sees this opponent one every four years. Lions under Jared Goff is putting up 275 passing yards with 68.8% completion rate. Lions may well be in chase mode trying to erase a deficit so they will get their points. Ravens are producing 443 yards per game of offense with 5.9 yards per rush. Lions a bad defense will have their hands full trying to contain Lamar Jackson who not only a run threat but has been accurate completing 66.1% of his passes. Play Baltimore and Detroit over 50.5.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Pick Prediction 9/26/2021
Cardinals at Jaguars—NFL free pick is Arizona Cardinals -7.5. Another AFC vs. NFC matchup and this tends to favor the better offensive team. That is clearly the Arizona Cardinals behind mobile quarterback Kyler Murray. Cardinals are moving the football for 445 yards with 325 in the passing game. Murray is completing 73.5% of his passes with 9.6 yards per pass. Jacksonville pass defense is getting torched surrendering 295 yards, 70.1% completion rate and 8.8 per pass attempt. Jaguars offense has sputtered. Trevor Lawrence has thrown five interceptions and coming off a performance against Denver last week where he averaged only 3.6 yards per pass attempt. Play Arizona -7.5.
LA Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick Prediction 9/26/2021
Chargers at Chiefs—Free pick is LA Chargers +7. KC has failed to cover 10 of their past 11 regular season games with inflated point spreads. Defense has been impressive by the LA Chargers holding opponents to 339 yards. Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert completing 70.5% of his passes leading a passing attack generating 7.4 yards per pass. Was impressed by the Chargers liming the Cowboys offense to 20 points last week. KC defense usually tightens in the back half of the season and they are going early season struggles. Chiefs are giving up 469 yards per game with 267 passing, 72.2% completion rate and 9.9 yards per pass attempt. Play LA Chargers +7.
Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns Pick Prediction 9/26/2021
Bears at Browns—NFL pick is Chicago Bears +7.5. Justin Fields makes his first start of the season as Andy Dalton injured. Fields a mobile option who has shown the ability to make plays with is feet. Cannot underestimate the value of taking first string reps in practice instead of filling in for an injured starter in-game. Browns are giving up a lot of passing yards this year at 272 yards, 69.2% completion rate and 8.4 yards per pass attempt. Browns defense has struggled getting of the field on third down allowing 65% conversion rate. Play Chicago +7.5.
New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots Pick Prediction 9/26/2021
Saints at Patriots—NFL free pick is New Orleans Saints +3. New Orleans returns players who missed last week due to COVID. Saints defense is holding opponents to 306 yards per game with 2.8 per rush and 6.6 yards per pass attempt. New England pounded a bad Jets team but were held to 16 points to Miami in their opener. Winston has good weapons in his passing game along with Alvin Kamara in his backfield. Play New Orleans +3.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Pick Prediction 9/26/2021
Bengals at Steelers—Free pick is Pittsburgh Steelers -3. Bengals blew a huge lead to Minnesota then earned an overtime win. Last week the Bengals traveled to Chicago and beaten 20-17 gaining only 248 yards. Joe Burrow threw three interceptions in their first road game against the Bears. Pittsburgh beat a good Bills team on the road. Bengals gave up five sacks and that is the issue here for Cincinnati. Pittsburgh has a strong defensive line and pass rush. Cincinnati has struggled the past two seasons protecting Joe Burrow. Play Pittsburgh -3.
New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos Pick Prediction 9/26/2021
Jets at Broncos—NFL pick is Denver Broncos -10.5. Broncos have been impressive posting wins at the Jaguars and Giants. They are moving the football for 409 yards per game. Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater is completing 77.1% of his passes on the year leading a passing attack averaging 8 yards per pass attempt. Jets 0-2 held to six points to the Patriots and 14 at Carolina. New York offense generating only 294 yards per game. Rookie quarterback Zach Wilson has five interceptions in two games and team throwing for 5.6 yards per pass attempt. He is getting sacked five times a game and facing a fierce Broncos defense. Home opener for Denver. Play Denver -10.5.
Miami Dolphins vs. Las Vegas Raiders Pick Prediction 9/26/2021
Dolphins at Raiders—NFL free pick is Las Vegas Raiders -3.5. Big injury in this game for Miami as starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is out with broken ribs. Miami has had difficulty moving the football as they are averaging only 237 yards per game rushing for 3.4 per attempt. Backup Jacoby Brissett gets the start. He couldn’t keep the starting job with the Colts struggling with accuracy. In relief of Tua last week, Brissett just 2 of 8 passing. Raiders offense has been moving the football for 458 yards per game. Quarterback Derek Carr completing 66.7% of his passes leading a passing attack that averages 8.4 yards per attempt. Raider defense doing a good job on third down that could lead to a long day for the Dolphins defense trying to contain this passing attack of the Raiders. Play Las Vegas -3.5.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Minnesota Vikings Pick Prediction 9/26/2021
Seahawks at Vikings—Free pick is Minnesota Vikings +1.5. Vikings their home opener after back to back road losses at Cincinnati in overtime by three and Arizona by one on a missed short field goal. Prior to COVID this was the best home field advantage in the NFL. Opposing teams struggled preventing the pass rush of the Vikings in their home stadium. Vikings are moving the football for 411 yards rushing for 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Kirk Cousins completing 71.6% of his throws with seven yards per pass attempt. Concern is for the Seahawks defense that blew a big lead to Tennessee in the second half. Seahawks are surrendering 434 yards per game, 4.6 per rush along with 271 yards in the passing game. Play Minnesota +1.5.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. LA Rams Pick Prediction 9/26/2021
Buccaneers at Rams—NFL pick is Tampa Bay Buccaneers and LA Rams under 55.5. Rams running back Darrell Henderson has a rib injury and missed practice this week. He is a game time decision. Rams lack depth at running back and that can be an issue. With no threat of a run this makes the Rams one dimensional against the good defense of Tampa Bay that brought back all of their starters from last year. Quarterback Tom Brady is facing the best defense he has seen this year. LA is holding opponents to 338 yards per game with only 5.7 yards per pass attempt. Rams do bring in a strong pass rush. Both runs games sputtering. Play LA Rams and Tampa Bay Buccaneers under 55.5.
Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers Pick Prediction 9/26/2021
Packers at 49ers—NFL free pick is San Francisco 49ers -3. San Francisco has had recent success at home and when healthy against the Packers by running the football. Green Bay is surrendering 4.8 yards per rush. San Francisco has taken hits to their running backs, but they do expect Trey Sermon to return. San Francisco defense coming off an impressive performance at Philadelphia holding the Eagles to 11 points in a back to back road spot. Packers off a short week after a Monday Night win and in a travel spot to the west coast. 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo is completing 70.9% of his passes and leading a passing attack averaging 8.9 yards per attempt. Play San Francisco -3.