WNBA New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury 9/23/2021 Picks Predictions

WNBA New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury 9/23/2021 Picks Predictions Previews

The Phoenix Mercury are hosting the New York Liberty at the Footprint Center in Phoenix on Thursday, September 23, at 22:00 in the second elimination game of the WNBA playoffs. Phoenix had three consecutive losses and finished in the fifth place of the whole league. On the other hand, New York are coming off a win that ended their previous eight-game losing streak and managed to secure the eighth and final playoff spot of the WNBA.

The Mercury finished the regular season with a 19-13 record and are 18-13-1 against the spread and 14-17-1 in over/under. They are coming off a home defeat against the Las Vegas Aces with an 83-84 score, beating the odds. They shot very well from behind the arc, connecting to 47% of their shots and saw a grand total of six players scoring double digits. Skylar Diggins-Smith led the way with 17 points and a game-high 7 assists, while Kia Nurse followed with 14 points with 4 triples.

Brittney Griner leads the team both in scoring with 20.5 ppg and in rebounding with 9.5 per game. Skylar Diggins-Smith adds 17.7 ppg, 3.2 rebounds and a team-high 5.3 assists per game.

The Mercury average 82.1 ppg offensively and have the fourth-best defense in the league, allowing 79.5 ppg. They have a 45% field goal percentage and a 34.6% 3-point percentage. They are 1-4 against the spread in their previous five matches. Under is 3-1 in their previous four matches.

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WNBA New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Predictions 9/23/2021

The Liberty finished the regular season with a 12-20 record and are 14-17-1 against the spread and 18-14 in over/under. They are coming off a home victory against the Washington Mystics with a 91-80 score, beating the odds. They shot very well both from the field with 52% and from downtown with 45%, while holding their opponents into just 40% and 36% respectively. Four of their five starters scored double digits, led by Natasha Howard with 24 points and a game-high 10 rebounds. Sabrina Ionescu followed with 22 points, 5 rebounds and a game-high 9 assists.

Betnijah Laney leads the team in scoring with 16.8 ppg, adding 4.1 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game. Natasha Howard adds 16.2 ppg and a team-high 7.2 rebounds per game.

The Liberty have the third-worse offense in the league with 78.5 ppg and the worse defense, allowing 85.5 ppg. They have a 42.7% field goal percentage and the third-best 3-point percentage with 36.2%. They are 3-1 against the spread in their previous four matches. Under is 4-2 in their previous six matches.

Phoenix led New York 2-1 wins during the regular season, with each team winning on the road. New York won the only road game with an 83-85 score. Phoenix is 6-1 against the spread in their previous seven meetings. The Mercury have a 7-9 home record, while the Liberty are 5-11 on the road. Phoenix has been below average at home throughout the season and the -9.5 spread feels too high here. I expect the Liberty to force a closer game than that, so pick them to beat the odds today.

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