Free College Football Picks For Today 9/22/2021
Miami Ohio vs. Army Pick Prediction 9/25/2021
Miami Ohio at Army—College football pick is Miami Ohio Redhawks +8.5. Army has won three in a row but has covered just one game. They have been giving up points late in games after building big leads as they surrender 224 yards passing per game with 7.8 per pass attempt. UCONN was able to cover last week behind 21 second half points. Western Kentucky scored 21 fourth quarter points on the Black Knights. Miami Ohio is an experienced team with nineteen starters back from last year including quarterback Brett Gabbert. He did pass for 201 yards in the five point loss at Minnesota. In that cover against the Golden Gophers the Red Hawks defense allowed 287 yards and just 3.8 yards per rush. Ten starters are back on a Cardinals defense that held opponents to 26.7 points per game. Play Miami Ohio +8.5.
Akron vs. Ohio St Pick Prediction 9/25/2021
Akron at Ohio St—College football free pick is Akron and Ohio St to play over the total of 67.5 points. Akron is an improved football team. They did manage to score 10 points on a good defensive team in Auburn but surrendered 60. Ohio St is putting up 538 yards per game with 217 rushing for 6.7 yards per carry. Akron is allowing 174 rushing yards per game with 5.4 per attempt. Ohio St has the ability to scored enough points to push this one over themselves via the big running plays. But Ohio St defense is allowing 471 yards a game and that is too many to lay the 49 here. Zips quarterback DJ Irons is completing 75.9% of his throws and went a perfect 13 of 13 for 129 yards in the loss to Auburn. Play Akron and Ohio St over 67.5.
Louisiana vs. Georgia Southern Pick Prediction 9/25/2021
Louisiana at Georgia Southern—Free pick is Georgia Southern +14. The Eagles are a running style team that is averaging 4.6 yards per rush attempt. They were a good home team in 2020. Last year’s meeting the Eagles were able to cover on the road to Louisiana losing 20-18 covering and a +9.5 underdog. Georgia Southern was able to move the football for 447 yards. Louisiana in their lone road game dropped a 38-18 decision at Texas not covering. Quarterback Levi Lewis for Louisiana averaged 7.1 yards per pass attempt against Texas and 7.3 in their win to Ohio. Ragin Cajuns have been below average converting third downs. Defensively poor getting off the field on third down at 25% and in red zone defense surrendering 70% touchdown conversions. Play Georgia Southern +14.
Boise St vs. Utah St Pick Prediction 9/25/2021
Boise St vs. Utah St—College football pick is Utah St Aggies +9. Utah St is an improved football team. They are off to a 3-0 start winning at Washington St and last week withstood the challenge from a physical Air Force St team winning 49-45. Aggies put up 628 yards on the Falcons and 441 to Washington St. Their run game is producing 206 yards per game with 5 yards per rush. Arkansas St transfer Logan Bonner is completing 64.8% of his passes as the team throws for 357 yards per game and 8.7 per attempt. Another close loss for Boise St as they fell to 1-2 after a 21-20 home defeat to Oklahoma St. The offense has sputtered in the two losses as the Broncos gained 283 yards on UCF and 303 on the Cowboys. Defensively Boise St is allowing 412 yards with 4.2 per rush and allowing 49% conversions on third down. Broncos have struggled to sustain drives as they are converting 38.1% on third down. Play Utah ST +9.
Kansas vs. Duke Pick Prediction 9/25/2021
Kansas at Duke—College football free pick is Kansas Jayhawks and Duke Blue Devils to play over the total of 57.5. Duke has shown good ability to move the football putting up 573 yards on Northwestern and 580 yards on Charlotte. Kansas is a poor defensive team surrendering 431 yards with 228 rushing for 5.4 yards per rush and 68.7% completion rate with 9.1 yards per pass attempt. Kansas showed the ability to move the football in their road game to Coastal Carolina putting up 22 points and 412 yards. Blue Devils have been poor defensively in the red zone allowing 91% conversions with Kansas with no red zone stops on the year. Blue Devils quarterback Gunnar Holmberg is completing 71% of his passes. North Texas transfer Jason Bean did throw for 189 yards and 8.2 yards per pass attempt on the Chanticleers. Play Kansas and Duke over 57.5.
Missouri vs. Boston College Pick Prediction 9/25/2021
Missouri at Boston College—Free pick is Missouri Tigers -2. Boston College lost starting quarterback and Notre Dame transfer Phil Jurkovec to a hand injury. Dennis Grosel completed only 5 of 13 against a down Temple team. Prior to that it was games against UMASS and Colgate. Missouri a good offensive team putting up 513 yards per game. They are getting balance as they run for 189 yards and 5.9 yards per rush. Quarterback Connor Bazelak is completing 67.3% of his passes as he is throwing for 330 yards per game. Tigers are good converting their third downs. He did pass for four touchdowns at Kentucky. Play Missouri -2.
Ohio vs. Northwestern Pick Prediction 9/25/2021
Ohio at Northwestern—College football pick is Ohio Bobcats and Northwestern Wildcats to play under the total of 48.5. Northwestern an inexperienced football team that has had struggles offensively. They will rely on a run game against this MAC opponent that is surrendering 5.6 yards per carry. Ohio head coach Frank Solich retired two months prior to the season. Team is 0-3 putting up only 16.3 points per game. Bobcats quarterback Kurtis Rourke is averaging only 5.2 yards per pass attempt against his FBS opponents. They scored only 14 points at Louisiana and 9 points at Syracuse. Bobcats converting only 30% on third down. Wildcats lean on defense and run game to grind out comfortable win but not confident enough in their offense to cover. Play Ohio and Northwestern under 58.4.
North Carolina vs. Georgia Tech Pick Prediction 9/25/2021
North Carolina at Georgia Tech—College football free pick is Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +12. Georgia Tech showed good defense holding Clemson to 14 points and 284 yards covering in a six point defeat. Yellow Jackets converting from a Triple Option team to more modern. They do run for 179 yards a game and 4.2 per rush. Georgia Tech quarterback Jordan Yates is completing 66.2% of his passes as the team averages 7.5 yards per pass attempt. North Carolina in their lone road game were defeated by Virginia Tech 17-10. Quarterback Sam Howell threw three interceptions, and the offense was held to 2 of 10 on third down. Tar Heels are surrendering 270 passing yards per game with 7.7 yards per rush. Rather take points. Play Georgia Tech +12.
Colorado St vs. Iowa Pick Prediction 9/25/2021
Colorado St at Iowa—Free pick is Colorado St and Iowa to play under the total of 45 points. Iowa a perfect 3-0 on the year has posted outstanding defensive efforts holding Iowa St to 27 points and Indiana to six. Hawkeyes holding opponents to 2.5 yards per rush and six yards per pass attempt. Iowa quarterback Sam Petras is averaging only 5.4 yards per pass attempt. Big step up in class for Colorado St in this spot. The have scored no greater that 22 points per game against FBS opponents. Defensively they held a pretty good MAC school in Toledo to six points and 291 offensive yards. Rams quarterback Todd Centeio is completing only 52.6% against Vanderbilt and 40.7% last week against Toledo. Colorado St offense has struggled moving the chains with 35.3% conversions on third down. Iowa not much better with 37.2% with poor quarterback play. Play Colorado St and Iowa under 45.
Indiana vs. Western Kentucky Pick Prediction 9/25/2021
Indiana at Western Kentucky—College football pick is Western Kentucky +9. Indiana has struggled with their offense as they average only 315 yards per game. They have lost both games against FBS opponents with losses at home to Cincinnati and on the road to Iowa averaging 15 points per game. Hoosiers quarterback Michael Penix is coming off an ACL injury from late last year. He is completing only 48.3% of his passes as the team throws for 5.8 yards per rush. Hilltoppers have shown the ability to move the football as they average 532 yards per game. Quarterback Bailey Zappe is completing 74.7% of his passes for 12 yards per pass attempt. Hilltoppers did move the football for 477 yards and 435 passing in a three point loss and cover at Army. Home underdog keeps it close. Hoosiers not running the ball well either. Play Western Kentucky +9.
FAU vs. Air Force Pick Prediction 9/25/2021
FAU at Air Force—College football free pick is Air Force Falcons -4.5. FAU plays their second road game and it comes in high elevation in Air Force. Owls drew Florida in their lone road game and were beaten lost 45-14. Air Force a good offensive team that is moving the football for 421 yards with 327 rushing for 5.2 yards per carry. FAU has struggled to defend the run this year allowing 189 yards and 5.6 per attempt. Falcons quarterback Haaziq Daniels is averaging 10.4 yards per pass attempt. Daniels is a huge part of the Air Force run game. He has rushed for 218 yards and five touchdowns in his three games. Miami transfer N’Kosi Perry struggled the past two seasons at the school completing only 55% of his passes. Play Air Force -4.5.
Washington St vs. Utah Pick Prediction 9/25/2021
Washington St at Utah—Free pick is Utah Utes -14.5. Washington St is dealing with injuries at the quarterback position. Jayden De Laura is dealing with a knee injury and questionable. Jarrett Guarantano has an undisclosed injuries and listed as questionable. Cougars were pounded in the second half of a 45-14 home defeat to USC. Washington St has lost both of their games against FBS opponents and lay their first road game. Last year Washington St visited Utah and were pounded 45-28 surrendering 528 yards. Utah returns home after dropping back to back road games at BYU and San Diego St. They open up PAC 12 and the goal is a Rose Bowl berth for this school. Utes have a run game that is generating 5.2 yards per rush. Defensively they are limiting the opposition to 297 yards and five yards per pass attempt. Utes quarterback Cameron Rising has won the starting job over Charlie Brewer who was a Baylor transfer. The Bears program took a step back with Brewer under center. Rising was effective in his time under center last week against San Diego St. Play Utah -14.5.
Hawaii vs. New Mexico St Pick Prediction 9/25/2021
Hawaii at New Mexico St—College football pick is New Mexico St Aggies +17. Hawaii has struggled on the road as they surrendered 45 points at Oregon St and 44 at UCLA all in straight up and against the spread defeats. Offensively the Warriors put up 10 at UCLA, 27 at Oregon St and last week 13 at home in defeat to San Jose St. New Mexico has covered all three games. They did go up 10-0 at San Diego St at the half and put up 25 points on the road to rival New Mexico. Rainbows quarterback Chevan Cordeiro is completing only 53.1% of his throws and his has been under 50% in his past two games against Oregon St and San Jose St. Aggies quarterback Dino Maldonado showed improvement in his second game under center. Play New Mexico St +17.
USF vs. BYU Pick Prediction 9/25/2021
USF at BYU—College football free pick is BYU Cougars -23. BYU moves to 3-0 beating all PAC teams in Arizona St and Utah at home with a win against Arizona on a neutral field in Las Vegas. Defensively the Cougars are limiting the opposition to 16.7 points per game. Quarterback Jaren Hall is completing 60% of his passes and making plays with his legs. Tough travel spot for USF and having to play a game at 10:15PM ET. South Florida has been pounded in both of their FBS games 42-20 at home to Florida and in their lone road game a 45-0 blowout win by NC State. Bulls offense averaged 284 yards in those games. Defensively the Bulls allowed 666 yards to the Florida offense and 525 yards to NC State. They are surrendering 262 rushing yards for 7 yards per attempt. USF quarterback Timmy McClain completing 50% of his passes with only 5.8 yards per pass attempt. Play BYU -23.
Colorado vs. Arizona St Pick Prediction 9/25/2021
Colorado at Arizona St—Free pick is Arizona St Sun Devils -14. Not much to like from this Colorado offense in their FBS games. Buffaloes at home in high elevation held to seven points to Texas A&M and were shut out last week against Minnesota. Colorado just 63 offensive yards against Minnesota after gaining 260 the week prior against the Aggies. They are converting only a 33% of their third downs. Buffs quarterback Brendon Lewis completing 55.4% of his passes with 4.3 yards per pass attempt. Arizona St a huge advantage at quarterback behind Jayden Daniels. The Sun Devils are running effectively for 224 yards and 5.6 yards per rush. Daniels is completing 73% of his passes with 8.4 yards per pass attempt. Colorado’s lack of offense will keep the Buffaloes defense on the field too long in the hot desert. Sun Devils extend big in the second half. Play Arizona St -14.