Free College Football Picks For Today 9/16/2021
UCF vs. Louisville Pick Prediction 9/17/2021
UCF at Louisville—College football pick is UCF Knights -7. Was impressed with the UCF performance in their opener storming back with a second half comeback in their 36-31 win against Boise St. They piled up 573 yards on the Broncos passing for 318. They piled up 671 yards in their win to FCS Bethune Cookman. Quarterback Dillon Gabriel is completing 65.8% of his passes as the team is averaging 8.6 yards per pass attempt. Louisville in their step up game was soundly defeated by Ole Miss 43-24 as they gave up 569 yards to the Rebels with 381 passing. Malik Cunningham in the loss to the Rebels completed 59.5% of his throws but 5.2 yards per pass attempt. UCF has experience with seventeen starters back and nine to their offense. Cardinals are breaking in two first year starters are wide out and at lead running back. Gabriel leads the more consistent offense. Play UCF -7.
Maryland vs. Illinois Pick Prediction 9/17/2021
Maryland at Illinois—College football free pick is Maryland Terrapins -7.5. Maryland in their lone game against an FBS opponent got past West Virginia 30-24 posting 496 yards offensively. Taulia Tagovailoa threw for 332 yards and three touchdowns in the win. Tagovailoa on the year is completing 76.2% of his throws with six touchdowns and no picks. He averaged 9.2 yards per attempt in the win against the Mountaineers. Illinois has been disappointing the past two weeks dropping a home game to UTSA and blown out at Virginia 42-14. They have allowed an average of 39.5 points per game past two games as at they allowed 566 yards to the Cavaliers and 497 yards to the Roadrunners. Illinois defense surrendering 311 yards passing per game with 9.0 yards per pass attempt. With Terrapins quarterback Tagovailoa accurate and performing well have to lay it here. Play Maryland -7.5.
SMU vs. Louisiana Tech Pick Prediction 9/18/2021
SMU at Louisiana Tech—Free pick is SMU and Louisiana Tech to play over the total of 66 points. Bulldogs have played to over in both of their games. In their FBS opponent, Louisiana Tech were beaten 35-34 at Mississippi St putting up 369 offensive yards and 268 through the air. Bulldogs have struggled defensively surrendering 514 yards per game with 432 passing with 78.3% completion rate. SMU under head coach Sonny Dykes has been a high octane offensive team with poor defensive play. Their entire offensive line returns as well as their playmakers. Mustangs are surrendering 298.5 yards per game through the air. Mustangs quarterback Tanner Mordecai is completing 71.4% of his passes this year with 11 touchdowns and 2 picks. Louisiana Tech Austin Kendall had 269 passing yards and 7.5 yards per pass attempt in the one point loss to Mississippi St. Play SMU and Louisiana Tech over 66.
Tulsa vs. Ohio St Pick Prediction 9/18/2021
Tulsa vs. Ohio St—College football pick is Tulsa Golden Hurricane +24.5. Tulsa is an experienced team with eighteen starters back and ten on offense. They have been involved in tight games this year being on the wrong end of them. Golden Hurricane is running for 5.2 yards per rush attempt and holding opponents to 2.8. Ohio St is a young team with a win at Minnesota and home loss to Oregon. The concern laying big number here is the play of the Ohio St defense that is allowing 456 yards with 236 rushing for 5.4 yards per attempt. Golden Hurricane quarterback Davis Brin did complete 70.4% of his passes against Oklahoma St with 8.3 yards per pass attempt. Play Tulsa +24.5.
Baylor vs. Kansas Pick Prediction 9/18/2021
Baylor at Kansas—College football free pick is Kansas Jayhawks +18. Baylor in their lone game against an FBS opponent failed to cover in a 29-20 win at Texas St. They put up 389 yards in the win with quarterback Gerry Bohanon going 15 of 24 and only 6.2 yards per pass attempt. Kansas head coach Lance Leipold came over from Buffalo and his Jayhawks team has shown improvement offensively in their loss at Coastal Carolina. They did put up 412 yards on an experienced Chanticleers team on the road. They did get within 28-22 midway through the third quarter. Jayhawks quarterback Jason Bean has rushed for 156 yards and two touchdowns in the teams first two games. Concern is over the efficiency of the Baylor quarterback. Play Kansas +18.
Colorado St vs. Toledo Pick Prediction 9/18/2021
Colorado St vs. Toledo—Free pick is Colorado St and Toledo to play over the total of 58.5. This is an experienced Toledo team returning 21 starters. This is a balanced offensive attack production 397 yards with 168 rushing for 4.8 yards per attempt. They put up 29 on Notre Dame last week. Rockets quarterback Carter Bradley has been more accurate on the season completing 65.8% of his throws. Rockets are averaging 9.3 yards per pass attempt. Colorado St has shown the ability to move the football piling up 445 yards on Vanderbilt and 462 yards against FCS South Dakota St. The scary part is the fact that the Rams allowed 42 points and 458 yards to FCS South Dakota St in the loss. Jackrabbits were able to rush for 7.2 yards per carry on the Colorado St defense. Toledo has the ability in this home game to run up the score here. Play Toledo and Colorado St over 58.5.
Northwestern vs. Duke Pick Prediction 9/18/2021
Northwestern at Duke—College football pick is Duke Blue Devils +3. These are two inexperienced teams. Prefer the offense behind the Duke team. Blue Devils in their loss at FBS Charlotte was able to generate 580 yards offensively piling up 352 rushing yards for 8 yards per carry. Quarterback Gunnar Holmberg is completing 71.4% of his passes with 8.2 yards per pass attempt. Northwestern has a loss to Michigan St by 17 then beat FCS Indiana St 24-6 failing to cover. Wildcats could only gain 275 yards on the Sycamore converting only 5 of 13 on third down. Northwestern quarterback Hunter Johnson is leading a Wildcats passing game that is generating only 5.9 yards per pass attempt. Team is rushing for only 3.9 per carry. Prefer the quarterback play for the Blue Devils. Play Duke +3.
Georgia Southern vs. Arkansas Pick Prediction 9/18/2021
Georgia Southern vs. Arkansas—College football free pick is Arkansas Razorbacks -23.5. Arkansas has shown well on both sides of the football sitting at 2-0 with home wins to Rice and Texas. On the year the Razorbacks are producing 422 yards per game with 289 rushing for 6.4 per attempt. Defense is holding opponents to 282 yards and just 2.7 per rush along with 5.9 per pass attempt. Georgia Southern had to replace six starters from last year including their starting quarterback. Eagles are 1-1 beating Gardner Webb an FCS team by only 5 and getting blown out at FAU 38-6. The Owls are a defensive style team yet piled up 541 yards on the Eagles defense. Justin Tomlin expected to start at quarterback for Georgia Southern completing only 45% the past two seasons in mop up duty. Razorbacks ground attack and defense too strong. Razorbacks quarterback KJ Jefferson is completing 65% of his throws. Play Arkansas -23.5.
Mississippi St vs. Memphis Pick Prediction 9/18/2021
Mississippi St at Memphis—Free pick is Memphis Tigers +3.5. Memphis held on for their 55-50 win at Arkansas St. This is high octane offense that put up 680 yards on the Red Wolves and 589 on FCS Nichols St. Quarterback Seth Henigan is completing 63.1% of his passes with 10.5 yards per pass attempt and 341 yards a game. Mississippi St struggling on the ground at 2.6 yards per run. Bulldogs are allowing 285 passing yards a game. Behind quarterback Will Rogers, Mississippi St is passing for 6.9 per attempt. First road game for Mississippi St that needed a late comeback to beat Louisiana Tech at home by one points. Play Memphis +3.5.
Arkansas St vs. Washington Pick Prediction 9/18/2021
Arkansas St at Washington—College football pick is Arkansas St Red Wolves +16.5. Washington the biggest disappointment thus far in college football. They opened with a 13-7 home loss to FCS Montana then traveled to Michigan and beat 31-10. Huskies offense generating only 317 yards per game with 1.9 per rush. Run defense has performed poorly for Washington by surrendering 235 yards and 5.2 per attempt. Arkansas St has experience with seventeen starters back. Red Wolves were competitive last week in a 55-50 loss and cover to Memphis. They did pile up 6801 yards on the Tigers defense. Huskies quarterback Dylan Morris is completing 56.6% of his passes with a touchdown and three picks. Washington averaging only 6.3 yards per pass attempt. Morris inefficient at quarterback with a bad running game. Red Wolves quarterback Layne Hatcher completing 70% of his passes with 8.7 per attempt. He is now starting for his third straight season. Play Arkansas St +16.5.