Free NFL Picks For Today 9/29/2020
New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions Pick Prediction 10/4/2020
Saints vs. Lions—NFL pick is New Orleans Saints -4. New Orleans has faced a tough schedule to start the season battling the Buccaneers, Raiders and Packers. Saints defense played well in their 34-23 win against the Buccaneers where they forced three turnovers. Concern is about the Lions defense which is 30th in the league surrendering 517 yards and a very poor 5.7 yards per rush on the ground. The poor run defense can open big plays for Drew Brees in the passing game off play action. Play Saints -4.
LA Chargers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick Prediction 10/4/2020
Chargers at Buccaneers—NFL free pick is LA Chargers +7.5. Young quarterback Justin Herbert has talent and will improve as the season moves forward. LAC defense has kept the team in all of their games this year with by three to KC and five to Carolina. Impressed by the Chargers 23-20 overtime loss to KC limiting the Chiefs to 20 points in four quarterbacks. Tom Brady is not a mobile quarterback and facing a Chargers team that pressure his throws. LA best in the league in red zone defense surrendering only 19 points per game. Play Chargers +7.5.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Chicago Bears Pick Prediction 10/4/2020
Colts at Bears—Free pick is Chicago Bears +2.5. Bears are off to a 3-0 start following a big comeback win at Atlanta last week. Nick Foles is now the starting quarterback. Chicago defense allowed only two touchdown passes which is best in the league. They do a good job of getting off the field as average drive against is two minutes and sixteen seconds best in the NFL. Huge step up in class for the Colts after facing the Jaguars, Vikings and Jets. This could be the game where Indy misses Marlon Mack. Rivers has the tendency to rush his throws which leads to turnovers and here he faced the toughest defense to date this season. Making things worse is the Colts are running for only 3.8 yards per attempt. Bears doing a good job of running the football at 4.9 yards per rush. That will help Foles make plays on the Colts defense. Play Bears +3.5.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Carolina Panthers Pick Prediction 10/4/2020
Cardinals at Panthers—NFL pick is Arizona Cardinals -4. Panthers return home after beating a Chargers offense with a rookie quarterback. But this spot is the Cardinals to respond after their first loss and an off game by Kyler Murray. Two strong weapons in the passing game for Murray in DeAndre Hopkins and Larry Fitzgerald. Panthers are a defense struggling tackle as they give up the most yardage after contact. That is a huge concern especially with Kyler Murray who has the ability to run with the football. Cardinals seven rated defense in the league and best in the NFL on third down plus second best in the red zone. Carolina without their best weapon in Christian McCaffrey in the backfield. They only posted 302 yards on the Chargers defense last week and on defense surrendered 312 passing yards. Panthers offense 30th in the red zone and the defense 31st on third down. Panthers surrendering 4.9 yards per rush. Play Cardinals -4.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cincinnati Bengals Pick Prediction 10/4/2020
Jaguars at Bengals—NFL free pick is Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5. Jaguars have been competitive with rest and not with short rest. Jaguars have a lot of rest after their loss on a Thursday night game to a Dolphins team showing improvement the past two seasons. With rest the Jaguars put up 27 points on the Colts and 30 on the Titans. Jacksonville third best in the league on third down and second best in the red zone. Gardner Minshew is completing 73.8% of his passes. Bengals still winless after a tie against a down Eagles team. Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow is getting hit a lot as he has been sacked fourteen times in three games. He is not getting help from his run game ranking 31st at 3.4 yards per carry. Defensively Cincinnati is giving up 5 yards per attempt. That will help out Minshew who has shown ability to make plays downfield. Bengals 26th in the red zone and 28th in red zone. Play Jaguars +3.5.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Houston Texans Pick Prediction 10/4/2020
Vikings at Texans—Free pick is Houston Texans -3.5. This is a battle between two winless teams. But this is a step down in class for Houston that opened with a brutal schedule dropping games to the Chiefs, Ravens and Steelers. Prefer DeShaun Watson passing against this young and rebuilt Vikings defense that is allowing 34 points per game which is 31st in the NFL. In their only road game of the season the team was beaten soundly 28-11 at the Colts. Minnesota has three turnovers in each of their past two games. The Vikings offense has done poorly on third down ranking 27th in the league. Houston offense has converted touchdowns in six of seven tries. Play Texans -3.5.