Free College Football Picks For Today 9/28/2020
TCU vs. Texas Pick Prediction 10/3/2020
TCU vs. Texas—College football pick is Texas Longhorns -13. Expect an improvement defensively from the Longhorns in this spot. They did face an experience quarterback from Texas Tech in their opener but now face a TCU offense with a sophomore quarterback and inexperience on the offensive line. Horned Frogs were shredded defensively on the ground against Iowa St in their loss giving up 212 yards for 7.6 yards per rush. Cyclones registered 37 points and now the Horned Frogs face a stronger offensivel team and quarterback under Sam Ehlinger. Longhorns senior quarterback is completing 71.2% of his throws with ten touchdowns and one pick. Offensively Horned Frogs did not run effectively posting just a 2.3 yards per carry average. Signaling issues on the TCU offensive line the team surrendered seven sacks and Horned Frogs took ten penalties. Play Texas -13.
NC State vs. Pittsburgh Pick Prediction 10/3/2020
NC State at Pittsburgh—College football free pick is NC State and Pittsburgh to play under the total of 48.5 points. Pittsburgh looked impressive defensively as they held and improved Louisville team to only 20 points and 223 yards offensively. Panthers not a flashy offense that relies heavily on the play of their defense. Wolfpack running the football a lot this season averaging 45.5 rushes per game. Panthers holding opponents to 2 yards per carry on the ground with opposing quarterbacks completing just 48.7% of their passes. Play NC State and Pittsburgh under 48.5.
East Carolina vs. Georgia St Pick Prediction 10/3/2020
East Carolina vs. Georgia St—Free pick is East Carolina Pirates -1. A step down in class for the Pirates as they travel to play Georgia St after their loss to UCF. This will be the second game of the year for East Carolina who finished with 244 rushing yards and 4.5 yards per run attempt on the UCF defense. This is an experienced offensive team for the Pirates returning eight starters including junior quarterback Holton Ahlers. In the second half the Pirates kick started their offense for 21 points. Georgia St was forced to postpone their game with Charlotte last week with COVID issues. Panthers in their opener dropped a three point decision to a Louisiana team that upset Iowa St the week prior. Panthers quarterback Cornelius Brown averaged 5.5 yards per attempt against the Rajin Cajuns. Issue for Georgia St was surrendering 6.2 yards per rush against Louisiana on 39 carries. Play East Carolina -1.
South Carolina vs. Florida Pick Prediction 10/3/2020
South Carolina vs. Florida—College football pick is South Carolina Gamecocks +18.5. Gamecocks did show improvement offensively with the addition of offensive coordinator Mike Bobo. Transfer Collin Hill, a senior in his first game with South Carolina hit on 25 of 39 passes for 290 yards and a touchdown. Florida did have a good offensive showing against Ole Miss, but the concern was the 35 points and 613 yards they allowed. Rebels posted 13.3 yards per pass attempt. With that play defensively can’t late these many points with Gators. Play South Carolina +18.5.
Baylor vs. West Virginia Pick Prediction 10/3/2020
Baylor vs. West Virginia—College football free pick is Baylor Bears -3. Bears offense looked good in their 47-14 win at home to Kansas to open the season. Run game was effective with 203 yards and 4.7 yards per rush. Bears defense held the Jayhawks to only 4.8 yards per pass attempt. West Virginia fell at Oklahoma St 27-13. They struggled with the ground game averaging only 1.6 yards per carry on 42 attempts. Mountaineers fell to an Oklahoma St team utilizing a backup quarterback. They allowed five yards per carry on the ground to the Cowboys. Dating back to last season the Mountaineers have lost four straight conference games at home. This was an offense in 2019 that generated only 20 points per game. Play Baylor -3.
Missouri at Tennessee Pick Prediction 10/3/2020
Missouri vs. Tennessee—Free pick is Missouri Tigers +10. Missouri showed improved offensive performance in the second half of their loss at Alabama. TCU transfer quarterback Shawn Robinson did complete 19 of 25 throws for 185 yards and a touchdown facing the Alabama defense. On defense the Tigers limited the Crimson Tide to 3.1 yards per carry on 36 rushing attempts. Tennessee held for a four point win at South Carolina. Vols did allow Gamecocks quarterback Collin Hill to throw for 280 yards on 25 of 39 completions. Tigers do have experience in their front seven this season. Rather take points here. Play Missouri +10.
Arkansas St vs. Coastal Carolina Pick Prediction 10/3/2020
Arkansas St vs. Coastal Carolina—College football pick is Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +3.5. Arkansas St was forced to postpone last week’s game with Tulsa with positive COVID tests and several players showing symptoms. This could leave the Red Wolves shorthanded in key positions. Coastal Carolina is off to a 2-0 start. They are getting production from a ground game that averages 189 yards per game with 4.8 per carry. Quarterback Grayson McCall is completing 64.7% of his throws with 11.9 yards per attempt. They opened the season with a fifteen point win at Kansas. This is an experienced Chanticleers team returning their quarterback, top running backs with receivers and four starting offensive linemen from last season. Red Wolves are an inexperienced defensive team surrendering 442 yards and 34 points per game. Play Coastal Carolina +3.5.
UTSA vs. UAB Pick Prediction 10/3/2020
UTSA at UAB—College football free pick is UTSA Roadrunners +18. UAB in their win against South Alabama caught a break as the Jaguars starting quarterback missed the game due to a shoulder injury and went with a JC transfer. UTSA moved to 3-0 on the season with a home win to Middle Tennessee St. Roadrunners are moving the football as they are posting 465 yards per game featuring a run game at 5.2 yards per carry on 42 attempts a game. Sophomore running back Sincere McCormick ran for nearly 1000 yards last year and is on base for that again as he averages 5.6 per rush. UAB is utilizing a freshman at quarterback who performed well against South Alabama after a poor showing against Miami. Roadrunners generate enough offense to cover here. Play UTSA +18.
Texas Tech vs. Kansas St Pick Prediction 10/3/2020
Texas Tech at Kansas St—Free pick is Texas Tech Red Raiders +3.5. Kansas St opened the season with a loss to Arkansas St then beat Oklahoma last week. Letdown could be in order for the Wildcats this week facing a strong offense from Texas Tech. Red Raiders did blow a late lead to Texas last week but did show well offensively. Quarterback Alan Bowman is throwing for 377 yards per game with the run game producing 4.6 per attempt. SaRoderick Thompson has been strong ball carrier for the Red Raiders averaging 5.8 yards per attempt. Kansas St beat a Sooners team that wore out defensively and went flat offensively in the second half like they did much of last season. Wildcats are an inexperienced offensive team that this point of their development may not be able to put back to back high scoring outputs. Tough for them to keep up with the scoring with the Red Raiders here. Play Texas Tech +3.5.
North Carolina vs. Boston College Pick Prediction 10/3/2020
North Carolina at Boston College–College football pick is North Carolina Tar Heels -11. North Carolina comes off a bye week after their 31-6 road win at Syracuse. UNC is an experienced football team returning ten starters on offense and seven to the defense. Quarterback Sam Howell coming off a great performance hitting on 25 of 34 for 295 yards. Run game produced 160 yards for 4.6 per attempt. Defensively Tar Heels limited the Orange on the ground to 1.9 yards per attempt on 35 rushes. Huge step up in class for Boston College after wins to rebuilding Duke and pulling out a three point win to Texas St. Eagles offense producing only 25 point per game facing lower tier ACC team and team from Sun Belt. BC an inexperienced offensive team breaking in a first year starting quarterback and losing 1731 yard rushing from 2019 in AJ Dillon to the NFL. They are only averaging 2.5 yards per carry on the ground on 34.5 rushing attempts per game. Play North Carolina -11.
Texas A&M vs. Alabama Pick Prediction 10/3/2020
Texas A&M vs. Alabama—College football free pick is Texas A&M Aggies +17. Won’t take too much from the result of the Aggies home win to Vanderbilt as they were looking ahead to Alabama. Aggies senior quarterback Kellen Mond has put up good numbers at his time with the school facing an SEC schedule. He has his two top runners and leading receiver back from a year ago. Offensive line is experienced. Aggies defense held opponents to 22.5 points and 340 yards per game. Crimson Tide did allow Missouri quarterback Shawn Robinson a TCU transfer to complete 19 of 25 passes for 185 yards and a touchdown. Aggies have covered two of three against the Crimson Tide. Play Texas A&M +17.
South Florida vs. Cincinnati Pick Prediction 10/3/2020
USF at Cincinnati—Free pick is Cincinnati Bearcats -21.5. Bearcats a physical team was able to pull away from a good Army team winning 24-10. Bearcats have been sharp defensively holding teams to only 314 yards and 15 points per game. Junior quarterback Desmond Ridder can keep defenses off balance as he is a threat to run as the second leading rusher for the team last season. Bearcats bring back nine starters from last season to their defense. USF did not handle a physical team well in their 52-0 loss at Notre Dame. Offensively the Bulls generate only 317 yards 13.5 points per game. This is a four win team from last year that had trouble scoring. This is a revenge game for the Bearcats as well. Play Cincinnati -21.5.