Free NFL Picks For Today 12/17/2019
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Houston Texans vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick Prediction 12/21/2019
Texans at Buccaneers—NFL pick is Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2. Tough spot for Houston as they face a hot Tampa Bay team sandwich between huge games for the division against the Titans. Buccaneers have won five of their past six games. Past three games Bucs averaging 450.7 yards and 34.7 points per game. What is just as impressive is Tampa Bay defense holding opponents to 282 yards and 21 points per contest. Their defense sits fifth on third down with the offense seventh in the red zone. Texans have failed to cover three of their past five. With an AFC team facing an NFC team the Texans are not familiar with this offense they are facing. Texans defense in that three game window allowing 423 yards. Overall the Houston defense last in the NFL on third down and red zone. Play Tampa Bay +2.
Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots Pick Prediction 12/21/2019
Bills at Patriots—NFL free pick is Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots to play under the total of 38.5. The teams combined for 26 points in their first meetings. Patriots have played to under in four of their six games. In their past two home games against playoff contenders the Patriots have scored 16 to Kansas City and 13 to the Cowboys. At home Patriots defense holding teams to 12.7 points and 267 yards per game. Against drop back quarterbacks the Bills defense has surrendered 15 points or fewer in three straight. They have played to the under in six of seven on the road surrendering only 14.4 points per game. Their defense sixth best in the league on third down. Patriot’s defense best on third down. Play Buffalo and New England under 38.5.
LA Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers Pick Prediction 12/21/2019
Rams at 49ers—Free pick is LA Rams +6. Rams are not eliminated from the playoffs but can keep their slim hopes alive with a win here. We have seen LA respond after an embarrassing home loss to Baltimore and they are in another spot where they look to bounce back after a bad game. Past three games LA is moving the football for 431 yards putting up 27.7 points per game. LA has covered six of their eight games this season. 49ers have lost two of three after a 29-22 defeat at home to Atlanta as the defense fails to protect a fourth quarter lead. San Francisco has failed to cover three of four at home. Past three games San Francisco allowing 31.7 points and 346 yards per game. First meeting LA defense did hold the 49ers to 22 points and 331 yards. Rams generate enough offense to cover here. Play LA Rams +6.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Atlanta Falcons Pick Prediction 12/22/2019
Jaguars at Falcons—NFL pick is Atlanta Falcons -7. Falcons showed heart last week in their come back 29-22 win at San Francisco. Prior to that it was a 40-20 home win to Carolina gaining 461 yards. Jacksonville faced a bad Oakland defense and put up 20 points and 262 yards. Jaguars have been held to 20 or fewer points in six straight games. Past three games Jacksonville offense posting only 252 yards. Jags offense 28th on third down and 30th in the red zone. Team has lost and failed to cover five of six with those losses coming by 17 or greater points. Play Atlanta -7.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins Pick Prediction 12/22/2019
Bengals at Dolphins—NFL free pick Miami Dolphins -1. Tough to back the Bengals who sit at 1-13 and 0-7 straight up on the road. Away from home Cincinnati averaging only 13.7 points per game. Dolphins have showed competitiveness covering seven of their past ten. Dolphins have covered three of four at home including their past one in a 37-31 win to Philadelphia where they had a season high in yardage and points. Bengals offense 31st in the red zone. Miami is playing with purpose because head coach Flores needs to find guys who can contributed to this team next season. Play Miami -1.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New York Jets Pick Prediction 12/22/2019
Steelers at Jets—Free pick is Pittsburgh Steelers and New York Jets to play under the total of 39 points. Steelers defense in great form as in their past three games holding teams to 15.7 points and 258.7 yards per game. Steelers need this game to help make the playoffs. Steelers offense sputtering behind a third string quarterback as in that span putting up only 275.5 yards per game. Pittsburgh have played to under in all six road games and 11 of their 14 games. Under in six straight. Jets offense in that window of games posting 16.3 points. They have played to under in five of their seven road games. New York offense 31st on third down. Steelers offense 25th on third down and 32nd inside the red zone. Play Pittsburgh and New York under 39.
New York Giants vs. Washington Redskins Pick Prediction 12/22/2019
Giants at Redskins—NFL pick is New York Giants +2.5. Giants have covered three of four after their 36-20 win at home to Miami. Washington is 1-6 straight up at home and failed to cover five of seven. In their first meeting New York did defeat Washington 24-3. Giants defense held three of their past four opponents to 23 points or fewer. Against the NFC East this season Washington defense giving up 31 points and 428 yards per game. New York has covered ten of twelve on a road underdog. Redskins have failed to cover seven of eight against the division and five of six as a favorite. Washington offense 32nd on third down with the defense 31st. Offense 28th in red zone. Giants third down and red zone much better on both sides of the ball. Play New York Giants +2.5.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns Pick Prediction 12/22/2019
Ravens at Browns—NFL free pick is Cleveland Browns +10. Tough to lay ten points on the road in a divisional game. Cleveland did win the first meeting on the road 40-25 behind 530 offensive yards. Browns have won and covered three of four against the division. The average margin of victory for Baltimore against the AFC North is seven points. Cleveland has won four straight at home beating two playoff contending teams. Their past two home losses came by seven or fewer points. A positive about the Browns defense is they are third on third down. Browns home form of late has been good. Play Cleveland +10.
Oakland Raiders vs. LA Chargers Pick Prediction 12/22/2019
Raiders at Chargers—Free pick is Oakland Raiders +5.5. Chargers have failed to cover six straight as a favorite. LAC is 2-4 straight up at home and 0-4 straight up and ATS against the AFC West. Raiders did win the first meeting at home on a Thursday night 26-24. Chargers coming off a bad performance at home to the Vikings getting beat 39-17 behind seven turnovers. LAC offense is 25th inside the red zone and the offense 25th on third down. Tough to back the Chargers as they don’t play well at home and as a favorite. Play Oakland +5.5.
Detroit Lions vs. Denver Broncos Pick Prediction 12/22/2019
Lions at Broncos—NFL pick is Detroit Lions and Denver Broncos to play under the total of 38 points. These are two teams utilizing third string quarterbacks. Past three games Lions averaging 14.7 points per game and 296 yards. The under has come in seven of eight with Denver as favored. Denver past three games moving the football for only 286 yards per game. At home Broncos defense has played well limiting opponents to 18.5 points and 18.5 points per game. Denver offense this season 30th on third down and 27th inside the red zone. Broncos sit best in the league defensively inside the red zone. Play Detroit and Denver under 38.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles Pick Prediction 12/22/2019
Cowboys at Eagles—NFL free pick is Dallas Cowboys -2.5. Dallas has continued to dominate the NFC East as the team is 4-0 straight up and against the spread this season. In their four divisional games this season the Cowboys are putting up 35 points per game 450 yards per game while limiting the opponents to 16.5 points. Cowboys have covered six of seven at Philadelphia and seven of their past eight overall head to head meetings. Dallas is 14-2 straight up and against the spread against the NFC East past three seasons. In their first meeting the Cowboys pounded the Eagles at home 37-10. Concern is about the Eagles defense who gave up season high and yardage plus points in loss at Miami. Eagles in their two meetings against the Redskins allowed a season high and second highest yards total to Washington this season. They allowed 37 points with 409 yards three weeks ago to the Dolphins. Then last week 27 points and 362 yards to the Redskins. Eagles have failed to cover four of their past five. I might have been five of five if not for that defensive touchdown return in the final play at home to Washington. Eagles also dealing with injuries at receiver. Play Dallas -2.5.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks Pick Prediction 12/22/2019
Cardinals at Seahawks—Free pick is Arizona Cardinals +10. Cardinals have been able to cover four of five on the road this season. They do come off the 38-24 home win to Cleveland. Seahawks have a monster game at home to San Francisco in Week 17 which could decided the NFC West title. Arizona has been able to cover seven of their past eleven. As an underdog Arizona has covered six of seven. Seahawks have failed to cover their past two games. There is concern for the Seahawks defense. Team allowed 455 yards to LA Rams two weeks ago and 414 yards to Carolina last week. Seattle has allowed an average of 279 yards passing their past three games. Arizona has covered three of four against the Seahawks. Seattle defense 25th in the red zone. Play Arizona +10.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Chicago Bears Pick Prediction 12/22/2019
Chiefs at Bears—NFL pick is Kansas City Chiefs and Chicago Bears to play under the total of 45. Sunday night football in late December in Chicago could provide some poor playing conditions. Chiefs defense has played well by allowing an average of 11 points per game over their past four contests. Each game went under in that span. Bears have played to under in nine of their fourteen games this season. Chicago was held to only 13 points at Green Bay last week. Chicago offense struggling on third down ranking 26th in the league while the defense does well witting at 7th. KC defense has moved to 8th on third down and sixth inside the red zone. Play Kansas City and Chicago under 45.
Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings Pick Prediction 12/22/2019
Packers at Vikings—NFL free pick is Green Bay Packers +4.5. Green Bay enters play at 11-3 overall and have covered nine of their fourteen games this season. Packers are a perfect 4-0 against the NFC North including a 21-16 home win to Minnesota in their first meeting this season. Vikings have failed to cover three straight at home by averaging only 22 points per game. Packers defense past three games have allowed an average of 337 yards and 11 points per game. Running back Dalvin Cook for Minnesota is banged up with a shoulder injury. Green Bay offense second best in the red zone and defensively fifth best. Play Green Bay +4.5.