Free NFL Picks For Today 12/3/2019
Dallas Cowboys vs. Chicago Bears Pick Prediction 12/5/2019
Cowboys at Bears—NFL pick is Dallas Cowboys and Chicago Bears to play under the total of 43 points. An early December game at night in Chicago will be cold and a 20 miles per hour wind is forecasted. Dallas in back to back games against good defensive team was held to 9 points at New England and 15 at home to Buffalo both going under the total. Dallas took a blow to their offense line as guard Connor Williams out for the season with a knee injury. Bears tight end and receiver in concussion protocol. Chicago offense under Mitchel Trubisky struggles against the better defenses. Past three games the Bears posting only 16.7 points per game. Chicago has gone under in five of their past six and under at home is five of six. Dallas third best defense on third down and seventh in the red zone. Chicago offense 28th on third down and seventh defensively on third down. Play Dallas and Chicago under 43 points.
San Francisco 49ers vs. New Orleans Saints Pick Prediction 12/8/2019
49ers at Saints—NFL free pick is San Francisco 49ers +3. Respect the 49ers after losing 20-17 on a last second field goal against the top scoring team in the NFL last week. Prior to that performance the 49ers defense limited Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers to 8 points. Now San Francisco will not have to worry about facing a mobile quarterback this week as pocket passer Drew Brees and the Saints are the opponents. Past two homes games the Saints have failed to cover as they gave up 31 to the Panthers using a backup quarterback and to a bad defensive team in Atlanta to 26 points. Past three games 49ers holding opponents to 249 yards and that is with the Ravens and Packers the opponents in that span. In that window the Saints are allowing 262 yards through the air. 49ers defense second best on third down and red zone. Play San Francisco +3.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns Pick Prediction 12/8/2019
Bengals at Browns—Free pick is Cincinnati Bengals +10. Andy Dalton gives the Bengals a better chance to compete and win. They got past the Jets last week 22-6 at home as Dalton returned to the lineup. Bengals have covered eight of their past nine head to head meetings many of those games with Dalton at quarterback. Browns fell at Pittsburgh last week who were using a third string quarterback 20-13. Browns not getting enough from their ground game as the team rushes for 3.9 yards per rush. They have not done a good job of moving the chains ranking 27th in the league on third down. Browns average only 5.39 plays per drive. Cleveland has been a turnover team and last week committed two in defeat. Baker Mayfield 15 touchdowns and 14 picks. Play Cincinnati +10.
Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons Pick Prediction 12/8/2019
Panthers at Falcons—NFL pick is Atlanta Falcons -2. Falcons have won and covered four straight against the Panthers. Three weeks ago the Falcons went to Carolina and blew out the Panthers 29-3 behind 295 passing yards. Carolina a struggling team with a four game losing streak after their 29-21 home defeat to Washington. Quarterback Kyle Allen threw four interceptions in the loss to the Falcons. He led an offense at home to the Redskins last week that showed very little the final three quarters of that game. Panthers defense showing struggle right now as in their past five games allowing 376 yards with 140 rushing for 5.7 yards per attempt. Carolina offense is 28th on third down and 27th defensively inside the red zone. There is concern for Panthers tight end Greg Olsen with a concussion. Play Atlanta -2.
Washington Redskins vs. Green Bay Packers Pick Prediction 12/8/2019
Redskins at Packers—NFL free pick is Washington Redskins +13. Redskins travel to Green Bay on a two game win streak after their road win at Carolina. There has been a strong focus on the running game since the coaching change to Bill Callahan. Redskins ground attack past three games is averaging 129 yards and 5.2 yards per rush which will aid their young quarterback. Green Bay defense gives a lot of yardage to opponents at home surrendering 375.2 yards with 142 rushing for 5 yards per rush. Redskins have covered four of six. Play Washington +13.
Denver Broncos vs. Houston Texans Pick Prediction 12/8/2019
Broncos at Texans—Free pick is Denver Broncos +9.5. Broncos have covered six of their past eight following their 23-20 home win to the Chargers. Defensively Denver has played well in that span of games surrendering 20 or fewer points in six of those contests. On the road Denver is holding teams to 329 yards with 103 rushing for 3.8 yards per rush. Texans have failed to over four of six overall and at home. Texans defense over their past three games surrendering 411 yards with 192 rushing for 5.5 yards per carry. Denver does have talent in their backfield in Phillip Lindsey and Royce Freeman to help support their young quarterback Drew Lock who was a four year starter for an SEC school in college.. Lindsey is averaging 4.7 yards per run attempt. Texans have failed to cover six of seven after a point spread cover which points to inflated lines following point spread success for this Houston team. Broncos generate enough points to cover this big number. Play Denver +9.5.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills Pick Prediction 12/8/2019
Ravens at Bills—NFL pick is Buffalo Bills +6. Extra rest for the 9-3 Bills after their dominating performance on Thanksgiving Day to beat the Dallas Cowboys 26-15 on the road. Buffalo over their past three games holding opponents to 287 yards and 12.7 points per game. In that span the offense is moving the football for 401 yards with 178 rushing for 4.7 yards per rush. Could be cold weather in Buffalo in December so the ground game could be featured for both teams. Bills defense is holding opponents to just 70 yards rushing over that window of three games. Baltimore is coming off a physical game against San Francisco last week where they needed a game winning field goal as time expired. Bills have covered four of their past five with a push. Team is eighth in the league defensively on third down and offensively inside the red zone. Josh Allen played in cold weather in college at Wyoming and is also capable running the football. Play Buffalo +6.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick Prediction 12/8/2019
Colts at Buccaneers—NFL free pick is Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3. Tough to back the Colts right now with their issues with injuries and place kicking. Indianapolis has been hit hard with injuries to their wide receiver and tight end position. Also, their impact running back Marlon Mack is out with a broken hand. Tampa Bay has now won three straight after their 28-11 win at Jacksonville. Tampa Bay defense has been good in their past three games holding opponents to 302 yards with 71 rushing for 3.4 yards per run. Colts have lost four of their past five. They have been held to 17 points in each of their past two games. Bucs defense third in the league getting off the field on third down. Play Tampa Bay -3.
Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets Pick Prediction 12/8/2019
Dolphins at Jets—NFL pick is Miami Dolphins +5.5. Dolphins have won four straight and six of seven against the Jets covering five with a push. Team has covered six of their past eight after a 37-31 home win to the Philadelphia Eagles. Dolphins had a season high of 409 yards in the win. Jets lose safety Jamal Adams to an injury for this game. New York run game is sputtering with only 3.3 yards per carry over their past three games. In that span Dolphins quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick is completing 65.3% of his passes for 274 yards. Jets do a poor job of moving the chains sitting 31st in the league inside the red zone. Miami generates enough points to cover here. Play Miami +5.5.
LA Chargers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Pick Prediction 12/8/2019
Chargers at Jaguars—NFL free pick is LA Chargers and Jacksonville Jaguars to play under the total of 43 points. Jaguars struggling as the team has lost four straight after a 28-11 home loss to Tampa Bay. Jaguars during this losing streak is being held to just 12 points per game. LA Chargers continue their struggles after a 23-20 road defeat at Denver. Chargers defense on the road holding opponents to 309 yards with 3.7 yards per rush. Jaguars at home limiting teams to 337 yards and 3.5 on the ground. Jags have played to under in three of four at home. LAC has played to under in eight of their twelve. Gardner Minshew starts but was benched for ineffective play as Nick Foles came back from injury. LAC offense 26th inside the red zone. Jags offense 30th inside red zone. Play LA Chargers and Jacksonville Jaguars under 43.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots Pick Prediction 12/8/2019
Chiefs at Patriots—Free pick Kansas City Chiefs +3. Over their past three meetings the Chiefs have had success getting points on the Patriots defense with an average of 37.7 points per game. KC came off the bye week and pounded the Raiders at home 40-9. Patriots offense is missing a playmaker and not getter production from their tight end position after the retirement of Gronkowski. Patriots offense past three games putting up only 17.3 points per game as Tom Brady completing only 51.5% of his pass attempts. Patriots have lost two of four by surrendering 28 points at Houston and 37 at the Ravens. New England 24th in the league inside the red zone. KC offense good on third down ranking third in the league. Patrick Mahomes is averaging 13.1 yards per completed pass. Play Kansas City +3.
Tennessee Titans vs. Oakland Raiders Pick Prediction 12/8/2019
Titans at Raiders—NFL pick is Tennessee Titans and Oakland Raiders to play over the total of 47.5 points. Titans offense upgraded with Ryan Tannehill under center. Past three games Tennessee is putting up 378 yards with 199 rushing for 6.7 yards per rush and 36 points per game. Raiders head coach John Gruden seems entirely focused on the offensive side of his football taking the blame for the struggles of his quarterback Derek Carr. Recent home games saw the Raiders post 26 to the Chargers and 31 to the Lions. Titans have giving up a lot of yardage as in their past three games allowing 430 yards with 331 passing. At home Raiders defense giving up 372 yards with 4.6 yards per rush. Titans have quality in their backfield to aid Tannehill in the passing game. Play Tennessee and Oakland over 47.5.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Arizona Cardinals Pick Prediction 12/8/2019
Steelers at Cardinals—NFL free pick is Pittsburgh Steelers and Arizona Cardinals under 43.5. Steelers are a defensive team. They have gone under in 9 of 12 and all five on the highway. Steelers are utilizing a third string quarterback and hit the road in this spot. Past two games Pittsburgh has ran the ball 70 times and passed it 48. Steelers are grinders now winning games with ball possession, field position and defense. Arizona offense held to only seven points last week in a home defeat to the Rams. Steelers play Baltimore twice every year, so they are familiar facing a mobile quarterback. Over past three games Pittsburgh holding teams to 272 yards per game with Arizona gaining only 293 yards. Steelers offense 25th on third down and 32nd and last in the red zone. Cardinals offense 29th in red zone. Play Pittsburgh and Arizona under 43.5.
New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles Pick Prediction 12/8/2019
Giants at Eagles—Free pick is New York Giants +9. Eagles have failed to cover three straight after their 37-31 road defeat at Miami. Eagles defense allowed a season high 37 points and 409 yards to the Miami Dolphins with Ryan Fitzpatrick throwing for 365 yards and three touchdowns. Giants were able to cover in their last road game at Chicago. Divisional opponents are putting up 400 yards and 32 points per game on that Eagles defense, so they have good intelligence on this team. Giants offense are gaining 367 yards against their division opponents this season. New York generates enough points to cover here. Play New York Giants +9.