Free NFL Picks For Today 11/19/2019
Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans Pick Prediction 11/21/2019
Colts at Texans—NFL pick is Indianapolis Colts +3.5. Indianapolis responded well with the return of Jacoby Brissett under center in their 33-13 home win to Jacksonville with the Jaguars coming off their bye week. They got production from their ground attack as Jonathan Williams was able to run for 116 yards on 13 carries. He will see the bulk of the carries for the Colts as Marlon Mack is out with a hand injury. Indy has covered six straight in Houston and five of six overall against the Texans. Colts won the first meeting this season at home behind 321 yards passing. Texans were hammered last week in Baltimore giving up 491 yards to the Ravens offense with 228 passing yards and four touchdowns throws to Lamar Jackson. Colts have done a good job in the red zone sitting in the upper third of the league. Past three games Colts defense holding teams to 270 yards to the Texans allowing 408 yards with 143 rushing for 5.8 yards per rush. Defensively Houston sits 28th on third down and 30th in the red zone. Play Indianapolis +3.5.
Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills Pick Prediction 11/24/2019
Broncos at Bills—NFL pick is Denver Broncos +5. Not comfortable laying this many points with the Bills. Denver defense has been good this season holding opponents to 310 yards with only 100 rushing for 3.9 yards per rush. Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen is not an accurate passer downfield. They beat the Dolphins twice, Bengals, Jets, Giants, Titans and Redskins. They could only put up 14 points on the best defense in that group of teams in Tennessee. Broncos have covered five of their past six games showing improvement offensively the past two games. Running back Phillip Lindsey is averaging 4.9 yards per carry. Quarterback Branden Allen is more mobile than Flacco and has three touchdown passes and a pick in his starts. Bronco defense seventh on third down and second best in the red zone. Buffalo offense struggles moving the chains sitting 20th in the league on third down. Play Denver +5.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons Pick Prediction 11/24/2019
Buccaneers at Falcons—Free pick is Atlanta Falcons -4. This is a different Falcons team since coming off their bye week. They come off divisional road wins at the Saints 26-9 and Panthers 29-3. Falcons allowed only 310 yards to the Saints and 347 to the Panthers. Atlanta forced four Carolina turnovers. Buccaneers have lost five of their past six failing to cover all six. Just can’t trust Jameis Winston and the Tampa Bay offense that has committed 15 turnovers in their past five games. Winston has thrown 18 picks this season. The team has committed three turnovers or greater in four of five games. Two games back Tampa Bay defense gave up 417 yards to Arizona and prior to that 492 yards to the Seahawks. Falcons have eleven sacks over their past two games and with pressure there could be more gifts from the Buccaneers quarterback. Play Atlanta -4.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Philadelphia Eagles Pick Prediction 11/24/2019
Seahawks at Eagles—NFL pick is Seattle Seahawks and Philadelphia Eagles to play over the total of 48 points. Seattle offense has shown improvement this season. They are no longer a ground and pound team. They throw more than run now. Past three games Seahawks are averaging 31 points and 383 yards per game. Team is fourth best in the league inside the red zone. Seahawks defense in that three game window is giving up 26 points and 410 yards. They are surrendering 325 passing yards with 64.8% completion rate. Eagles faced two strong defenses in a row in the Patriots and Bears. They have faced many good defensive teams. In recent games Seahawks did put up 31 at Buffalo, 31 at home to the Jets and 34 at the Packers. Green Bay is another team that surrenders a lot of yardage. Eagles offense is fifth on third down and ninth inside the red zone. Play Seattle and Philadelphia over 48 points.
New York Giants vs. Chicago Bears Pick Prediction 11/24/2019
Giants at Bears—NFL free pick is Chicago Bears -6.5. Tough to back the Giants based on the play of their defense. New York has allowed 27 points or greater to nine of their ten opponents this season with the exception the Washington Redskins. New York has lost six straight after their 34-27 loss at the New York Jets prior to their bye. On the road the Giants defense giving up 417 yards with 321 passing with 71.5% completion rate. Bears offense has struggled but they did cover at home to a bad defensive team in the Detroit Lions getting a 20-13 win. Things will be easier for Mitch Trubisky passing against a bad Giants defense. At home Bears defense holding opponents to 289 yards and 16.4 points per game. Play Chicago Bears -6.5.
Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints Pick Prediction 11/24/2019
Panthers at Saints—Free pick is Carolina Panthers +10. Divisional rivalry game. Panthers a desperate team after back to back losses at the Packers and home to the Falcons. Ownership has put pressure on management, coaching and players after last week’s loss. At home New Orleans average 22.6 points per game. Carolina has covered three straight against the Saints. Panther running back Christian McCaffrey is running for 5.3 yards per attempt and a weapon in the passing game. Don’t like to lay double digits in a divisional game especially the NFC South. Play Carolina +10.
Miami Dolphins vs. Cleveland Browns Pick Prediction 11/24/2019
Dolphins at Browns—NFL pick is Miami Dolphins +11 points. Dolphins an improved team that has covered five of their past six games. Defensively over their past three games Miami is holding opponents to 348 yards with 205 passing for only 59.5% completion rate. Their back seven has done a good job in pass coverage. Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick gives the Dolphins a better chance to win. At home this year Cleveland is posting only 336 yards with only 6 yards per pass attempt. Browns offense has struggled moving the chains ranking 27th on third down. Baker Mayfield completing only 59% of his passes with 11 touchdowns and 12 picks. Browns an undisciplined team averaging nearly 9 penalties a game for 82.2 yards. Can’t lay double digits with a team that turns the ball over and has too much negative yardage via penalties and sacks. They allow 2.6 sacks per game losing a total of 20.4 yards per game. Play Miami +11.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals Pick Prediction 11/24/2019
Steelers at Bengals—NFL free pick is Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals to play under the total of 39 points. Bengals offense has been held to an average of 11 points per game in their past three games. They faced a bad Raiders defense last week and put up only 10 points. In that span the Bengals are averaging just 318 yards of offense. Quarterback Ryan Finley is completing only 47.5% of his passes with 4.6 yards per pass attempt. Bengals offense struggles on third down and 30th in the league inside the red zone. Pittsburgh offense not performing well. Two weeks ago scored only 17 points to the Rams with 273 yards. Then last week the Steelers scored 7 points on the Browns gaining 236 yards. Steelers have committed eight turnovers in their past three games. Quarterback Mason Rudolph averaging only 6.3 yards per attempted pass. Play Pittsburgh and Cincinnati under 39.
Oakland Raiders vs. New York Jets Pick Prediction 11/24/2019
Raiders at Jets—Free pick is New York Jets +3. New York showing improvement offensively generating back to back wins against the Giants and Redskins. Those are bad defensive teams but so are the Raiders. Oakland on the road is surrendering 400 yards with 279 in the passing game with 66.4% completion rate. They have scored 34 in back to back games and have a notable home win to Dallas. Jets defense over their past three games holding teams to just 274 yards with 2.1 yards per rush. Raiders defense this season lower third getting off the field on third down and 30th inside the red zone. Play New York Jets +3.
Detroit Lions vs. Washington Redskins Pick Prediction 11/24/2019
Lions at Redskins—NFL pick is Detroit Lions -3.5. Lions the better offensive team that has put up 24 points or greater in seven of their ten games this season. Quarterback Jeff Driskel showed to be a capable quarterback as he passed for 269 yards at the Bears and 209 yards last week against the Cowboys. Total he has three touchdowns and a pick this year. Redskins are 1-9 and have failed to cover seven of their past nine games this season. This is an offense that averages 255 yards and 12.5 points per game. They come off a 34-17 home loss to the New York Jets coming off a bye week. Redskins pass defense has been poor this season allowing 71.5% completion rate. Washington offense 31st on third down and red zone. They are 32nd and last defensively on third down. Play Detroit -3.5.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans Pick Prediction 11/24/2019
Jaguars at Titans—NFL free pick is Tennessee Titans -3. Teams comes off their bye week after a 35-32 home win to Kansas City for their third win in four games. With Ryan Tannehill under center the offense has picked up as the veteran is completing 71.3% of his passes with eight touchdowns and four picks. Titans are best in the NFL inside the red zone. Jaguars have had offensive struggles held to 13 points last week at Indianapolis coming off a bye then 3 against Houston in London. Team offensively sits 23rd on third down and 32nd and last inside the red zone. Tennessee has covered four of their past five head to head meetings. Play Tennessee -3.
Dallas Cowboys vs. New England Patriots Pick Prediction 11/24/2019
Cowboys at Patriots—Free pick is Dallas Cowboys +6. Dallas offense has been productive scoring 35 points or greater in three of their past four games. Questionable play calling prevented Dallas from reaching 31 points in their loss to Minnesota. Over their past four games the Cowboys have gained 399 yards or greater. Expected a reaction from the Cowboys play calling after their lack of success against Minnesota late which cost them the win. Dallas threw for 434 yards last week. Dallas offense number one in the league on third down and third best on defense. Patriots faced a good offensive team in the Ravens and gave up 37 points with 372 yards. New England offense has struggled as in their past three games averaging 319 yards and 21.3 points per game. They are only running for 3.4 yards per rush in that span. Cowboys defense holding opponents to 315 yards in that window of time. Play Dallas +6.
Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers Pick Prediction 11/24/2019
Packers at 49ers—NFL pick is Green Bay Packers +3. Green Bay coming off the bye week after their eight point home win to the Carolina Panthers. Packers have won eight of their past ten. Past three games Packers getting production on the ground with 5.1 yards per rush average and Aaron Rodgers completing 64.9% of his passes. San Francisco has failed to cover four of their past five games with a straight up home loss to Seattle. They have been hit hard with injuries. As a result, the 49ers in their past three games rushing for only 2.9 yards per rush while the defense is giving up 5.3 yards per attempt. Packers running for 5 yards per rush makes Aaron Rodgers lethal in the pocket. Play Green Bay +3.
Baltimore Ravens vs. LA Rams Pick Prediction 11/25/2019
Ravens at Rams—NFL free pick is Baltimore Ravens -3. Lamar Jackson will be a difficult defend for the Rams defense as they haven’t seen a quarterback of his ability to run and throw effectively. Ravens are in great form as in their past three games averaging 414 yards and 42.3 points per game. They are running for 203 yards and 6.1 yards per run and in the passing game Jackson completing 76.4% in that span. LA offense downgraded from a season ago as the run is production just 3.7 yards rush at home. Ravens defense strong this season holding opponents to 332 yards and 59.7% completion rate. Baltimore has won six straight and covered four straight. Team is second best on third down offensively and seventh in the red zone. Past two games Rams offense held to 306 yards at Pittsburgh and 283 at home to Chicago averaging just 14.5 points per game. Play Baltimore -3.