Free NFL Picks For Today 11/12/2019
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns Pick Prediction 11/14/2019
Steelers at Browns—NFL pick is Pittsburgh Steelers +2.5. Steelers travel to Cleveland on a four game win streak with a notable road win at LA Chargers. The home wins in this streak came to the Rams, Colts and an improving Dolphins team. Steelers defense in their past three games holding opponents to 288 yards and 16.7 points per game. Team has covered six of seven. Browns have lost four of their past five games and have been held to under 20 points in four of those contests. Their defense is giving up 5.1 yards per rush in their past three games. They have not covered six of their seven with a push. Browns offense 28th on third down and 26th in the red zone. Steelers defense has been strong inside the red zone. They have covered four straight on Thursday night with a push in their past five. Play Pittsburgh +2.5.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers Pick Prediction 11/17/2019
Falcons at Panthers—NFL free pick is Atlanta Falcons +6. Atlanta came off their bye last week and played their best football of the season in a 26-9 win at New Orleans. Falcons have covered three straight and six of their past seven against the Panthers. Falcons defense held the Saints to only three field goals 310 yards and 0 of 3 inside the red zone. Team was successful with a balanced run and pass attack in the win. Panthers have lost two of three all against good offenses in the 49ers and Packers. Panthers defense past three games giving up 402 yards and 31.7 points per game. Carolina offense 26th on third down and on defense last in the red zone. Falcons have a passing game with 267 yards as Matt Ryan is completing 69% of his passes. He has thrown 14 touchdowns and 5 picks on the road. Falcons defense looked sharper and there will be carryover here. Play Atlanta +6.
Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens Pick Prediction 11/17/2019
Texans at Ravens—Free pick is Houston Texans +4.5. Houston is coming off the bye week on a two game win streak and four wins in their past five games. They come off a 26-3 win at Jacksonville. Texans offense has been balanced as in their past five games are averaging 396 yards with 142 rushing and 253 passing. Team is rushing for 5 yards per rush. DeShaun Watson is completing 70.2% of his passes with 18 touchdowns and 5 picks. Texans have covered four of five against Baltimore and overall on the road. Baltimore has failed to cover three straight at home as a favorite. Texans offense sixth best on third down and fifth in the red zone. Play Houston +4.5.
Denver Broncos vs. Minnesota Vikings Pick Prediction 11/17/2019
Broncos at Vikings—NFL pick is Minnesota Vikings -10. Will be a tough spot for Broncos quarterback Brandon to make his first every road start and second start of his NFL career. Broncos are 3-6 on the season and have lost three of four on the road. Vikings return home where defensively have played very well. Each home victory by the Vikings has been by double digits. At home the Minnesota defense allows only 315 yards and 13.8 points per game. Offensively the move the ball in their stadium with 166 yards rushing with 217 through the air and 79.1% completion rate. Vikings offense seventh in the red zone while the defense sits sixth. Denver offensively 30th on third down and 27th in the red zone. Vikings pass rush fierce at home which could force turnovers against this Broncos inexperienced quarterback. Play Minnesota -10.
Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Pick Prediction 11/17/2019
Bills at Dolphins—NFL free pick is Miami Dolphins +6.5. Miami is showing improvement as they come off the 16-12 road win at Indianapolis. Team has covered five straight and have won two in a row. Past three games Miami defense playing well limiting opponents to 338 yards with 221 passing and only 57% completion rate. In that same span the Bills offense sputtering with 288 yards and 17.7 points per game. Bills coming off the 19-16 defeat at Cleveland. Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen has not been an accurate passer completing only 59.9% of his passes with ten touchdowns and seven picks. Bills sit in the lower third of the league on third down. Play Miami +6.5.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts Pick Prediction 11/17/2019
Jaguars at Colts—Free pick is Jacksonville Jaguars +3. Colts starting quarterback Jacoby Brissett is injured with a sprained MCL on his knee that forced him to miss the home game to Miami. Offense has been held to 19 points or fewer in three of their past five games after scoring 12 at home in a loss to Miami. A huge injury is to TY Hilton who is out with a calf until early December. He is a critical piece in the Colts passing game. Jacksonville coming off the bye week healthy. Nick Foles starts at quarterback and target Dede Westbrook returned to practice to just name a few of the returning players. Jacksonville has covered seven straight against Indianapolis. Defensively over their past three games the Jaguars are holding teams to 304 yards and 19.3 points per game. Indianapolis has failed to cover three straight. They have six turnovers in their past two games. Play Jacksonville +3.
New York Jets vs. Washington Redskins Pick Prediction 11/17/2019
Jets at Redskins—NFL pick is New York Jets +1.5. Redskins will start rookie Dwayne Haskins for the remainder of the season. Redskins a 1-8 team that is 0-4 at home. Redskins offense in their past three games has generated only 204 yards and 6 points per game as they run more than pass. Their offense sits 31st in the league on third down and 29th in the red zone. Defense does a poor job getting off the field sitting 31st on third down. Washington has been held to 9 points or fewer in five of their past six games. Things should be easier for Sam Darnold against this Redskins defense that has struggled to defend the pass allowing 72.5% completion rate. New York has done a good job of defending the run well which will put the inexperienced Haskins in down and distance. Play New York Jets +1.5.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions Pick Prediction 11/17/2019
Cowboys at Lions—NFL free pick is Dallas Cowboys -3.5. Lions are dealing with concerns at quarterback at Matthew Stafford dealing with a back injury that forced him to miss the loss the Chicago Bears. Lions defense has been poor as the team allows 402 yards with 272 passing. After struggling on the ground in the closing stages against the Vikings look for Dallas to do what they do best and that is pass the football. On the season the Cowboys are completing 68.1% of their passes for 299 yards. This is an area where Dallas can exploit the Lions. Lions have lost two straight and five of their past six games. Dallas offense is best on third down. Defense third best on third down and third in the red zone. Detroit defense 26th on third down and 27th in the red zone. Play Dallas -3.5.
New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick Prediction 11/17/2019
Saints at Buccaneers—Free pick is Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6. Tampa Bay coming off a win at home to Arizona. They are moving the football on offense as in their past three games are averaging 421 yards with 313 yards in the passing game. Saints are coming off a 17 point home loss to Atlanta as they were held to only three field goals 310 yards of offense. New Orleans not the same offense on the road as they average only 314 yards and 22.8 points per game. Jameis Winston is coming off a 358 yard passing performance last week against Arizona. Tampa Bay defense has been good against the run and sit 4th in the league on third down. Bucs generate enough points to cover this number. Play Tampa Bay +6.
New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles Pick Prediction 11/17/2019
Patriots at Eagles—NFL pick is New England Patriots -3.5. Patriots defense won’t have to deal with a mobile quarterbacking skill of Lamar Jackson in this spot as they battle a drop back quarterback in Carson Wentz. Patriots defense is surrendering only 249 yards per game this season with 54.1% completion rate. Both teams coming off bye weeks. But the Patriots are coming off a loss and New England has been good in this spot against the spread after a loss. Eagles past two wins came against offensively challenged teams in the Bears and Bills. They were pounded at Dallas and Minnesota which are good offenses. Eagles defense was shredded against the Pacers, Vikings and Cowboys. Philadelphia defense 25th in the red zone. Patriots defense first on third down and fourth in the red zone. Play New England -3.5.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Oakland Raiders Pick Prediction 11/17/2019
Bengals at Raiders—NFL free pick is Oakland Raiders +10. Bengals decided to bench Andy Dalton in favor or rookie Ryan Finley and the team was beaten 49-13 at home to Baltimore. The game looked like it was moving too fast for Finley who was only 16 of 30 for 167 yards. Past three games Cincinnati averaging only 13.3 points per game. Defensively in that span the Bengals are allowing 436 yards on defense with 150 rushing for 4.8 yards per run. Oakland does have balance on offense as they run for 4.7 yards per carry and Derek Carr is completing 70.8% of his passes. Raider offense doing a good job of moving the chains as they are fifth on third down. Bengals defense is 32nd and last in the red zone. Play Oakland +10.
Chicago Bears vs. LA Rams Pick Prediction 11/17/2019
Bears at Rams—Free pick is Chicago Bears +7. Chicago pressure was a bit much for Jared Goff in their meeting last season as the Bears win 15-6 as LA generates only 214 yards all game. Bears travel with momentum off a 20-13 home win to Detroit. Rams coming off another lackluster performance on offense in a 17-12 defeat at Pittsburgh. They were held to 306 yards and four turnovers in defeat. Prior to that the Rams could only generate 21 points in a win against a bad Cincinnati team. LA in their past three games are running for only 3.2 yards per rush. Puts LA in down and distance and the LA offensive line has struggled to prevent pressure on Goff. This game can land 3.4 or 6 and you win no matter who wins. Play Chicago Bears +7.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. LA Chargers Pick Prediction 11/18/2019
Chiefs vs. Chargers—NFL pick is Kansas City Chiefs and LA Chargers to play over the total of 52 points. Game played in Mexico City where the field has been taken care of. Teams have gone over in both meetings last season. Chiefs have played to over the total in three straight six of their past eight games. KC defense has struggled this year allowing 369 yards with 148 rushing for 5.1 yards per run. LA has shown improvement on the ground and that can open up plays down field in the passing game for Phillip Rivers and his weapons. Patrick Mahomes returned to the KC lineup and moved the football for 530 yards with 433 passing on a good Tennessee defense. Problem was the Chiefs defense couldn’t get enough stops in a 35-32 road loss. KC also had success moving the football at home to Minnesota behind a backup quarterback in Matt Moore as they finished with 377 yards. Play Kansas City and LA Chargers over 52 points.
Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers Pick Prediction 11/18/2019
Cardinals at 49ers—NFL Free pick is Arizona Cardinals +11 points. Cardinals did cover in their first meeting at home on a Thursday night. They were able to move the football for 353 yards with 153 on the ground. Cardinals have covered four of their past five games. Arizona has been a good second half team. Tough spot for San Francisco on a short week after their loss to Seattle and have failed to cover their past two games. 49ers are banged up at wide receiver plus defensive and offensive line. San Francisco are in the lower third in the league offensively in the red zone. Cardinals generate enough offense to cover this number. Play Arizona +11.