Free NFL Picks For Today 11/5/2019
LA Chargers vs. Oakland Raiders Pick Prediction 11/7/2019
Chargers at Raiders—NFL pick is LA Chargers -1. LA has won and covered four straight against Oakland. They have also covered six of their past seven against the Raiders. Chargers defensive form better holding their past three opponents to 325 yards and 16.7 points per game. Opponents rushing for only 3.9 yards per carry on LAC. Oakland defense has played poorly in that span giving up 447 yards and 31 points per contest. The pass defense during this time not good by allowing 354 yards and 70.3% completion rate. Chargers offense good on third down ranking seventh in the league. They have had success moving the football and coming off a home win to Green Bay where the team posted 442 yards. Raiders defense 29th in the league on third down and 27th in the red zone. Play LA Chargers -1.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals Pick Prediction 11/10/2019
Ravens at Bengals—NFL free pick is Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals to play under the total of 46 points. Cincinnati is turning to rookie quarterback Ryan Finley to face the Ravens defense. Cincinnati offense this season is posting up only 317 yards and 15.5 points per game. They are doing a poor job of running the football with only 3.2 yards per carry. Ravens are holding opponents to 22 points per game. Cincinnati has played under in three straight and five of their past six games. Bengals offense 32nd and last in the red zone. Part of the problem is their ineffectiveness on the ground. Cincinnati will have trouble scoring and on the road after a huge win at home to New England. The Ravens will preserve a lead and run clock in the fourth quarter. Play Baltimore and Cincinnati under 46.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans Pick Prediction 11/10/2019
Chiefs at Titans—Free pick is Kansas City Chiefs -4. KC got the job done at home with a 26-23 home win to Minnesota. KC got Chris Jones back to their defensive line and held the Vikings to 23 points. Chiefs quarterback Pat Mahomes was close to coming back for the Minnesota game and the extra time off should help him get back into the lineup this week. Chiefs head coach Andy Reid told the media that Mahomes is close to returning. KC offense getting healthier for Mahomes to operate. Tough for Titans to keep up with the scoring of KC in this spot. Tennessee offense 25th on third down. Play Kansas City -4.
Arizona Cardinals vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick Prediction 11/10/2019
Cardinals at Buccaneers—NFL pick is Arizona Cardinals +4. Buccaneers pass defense has performed poorly allowing 293 yards and a 64% completion rate. Bucs have failed to cover four straight after an overtime 40-34 road defeat at Seattle. Team has not covered in true home games this season dropping games to New York Giants and San Francisco. Cardinals showing competitiveness with four covers in their past five games after losing at home to San Francisco 28-25 on Thursday night. They do bring extra rest into this game. Arizona has performed well this season against the bad defensive teams on their schedule. Must respect the improved offensive showing from this team gaining 357 yards on the 49ers defense. Tampa Bay is 2-6 and tough to trust laying over a field goal. They have allowed 457 yards or greater in three of their past five games. Bucs have not defended well this season in the red zone and their offense has 12 turnovers in their past three games. Play Arizona +4.
Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Pick Prediction 11/10/2019
Lions at Bears—NFL free pick is Chicago Bears -2.5. Bears have covered four of their past five against the Lions. They did have success moving the football on the Lions defense last season. Detroit has now lost four of their past five games after a 31-24 defeat at Oakland. Over their past three gams the Lions defense is allowing 441 yards with 302 yards in the passing game with 67.9% completion rate. Bears offense has had their issues but will find things easier operating against the Detroit defense. Outdoor game for a dome team in Detroit and weather could be an issue in Chicago for Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford. Chicago had their most passing yards in their past two home games against the Saints and Chargers. Bears defense is doing a good job of getting off the field on third down. Lions defense on third down sits 30th in the league. Play Chicago -2.5.
Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints Pick Prediction 11/10/2019
Falcons at Saints—Free pick is Atlanta Falcons +13. Atlanta coming off the bye week. That is a lot of points to lay against a heated rival in a divisional game. Atlanta despite their issues are still moving the football for 385 yards per game with 316 in the passing game with 72% completion rate. Matt Ryan has been listed as probable to return under center. Past three games for Atlanta they have gained 392 yards with 322 passing with 75.2% completion rate. Prior to the bye the Falcons gained 511 yards on Seattle in a loss but they did cover the closing line. They in the top third in the league on third down and red zone. Play Atlanta +13.
Buffalo Bills vs. Cleveland Browns Pick Prediction 11/10/2019
Bills at Browns—NFL pick is Buffalo Bills +3. Bills have won three of their past four games. They have a very good defense holding opponents to 296 yards and 16.4 points per game. Team has covered four straight on the road and four of five against the Browns. Buffalo is 6-2 getting production on offense from their run game. Cleveland has lost four straight after a 24-19 defeat at Denver who was utilizing a backup quarterback who had never played a regular season down in the NFL prior to this start last week. Cleveland has lost and failed to cover all three at home and are a 2-6 football team. Cleveland offense generates only 19 points per game. Baker Mayfield has seven touchdown passes and twelve interceptions on the season. He is sacked nearly 8% of the time he attempts a pass. They are 29th in the league on third down. Bills offense best in the red zone on the season. Play Buffalo +3.
Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts Pick Prediction 11/10/2019
Dolphins at Colts—NFL free pick Miami Dolphins +10.5. Miami is showing improvement as they have covered four straight. Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick makes the team more competitive than Josh Rosen. Defensively they have shown better as in their past three games holding opponents to 340 yards and 25.3 points per game. Colts come off a road defeat at Pittsburgh. Steelers were utilizing a rookie backup quarterback as Ben Roethlisberger is out for the season. In the Colts loss quarterback Jacoby Brissett suffered a knee injury that has been listed as an MCL sprain. They are also without their top wide receiver as T.Y. Hilton is out for at least a month with a calf injury. If Brissett can’t go it will be journeyman Brian Hoyer under center for Indianapolis. Colts did have three turnovers in their loss at Pittsburgh. Just cant lay double digits with the likelihood of a backup under center for Indianapolis. Play Miami +10.5.
LA Rams vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Pick Prediction 11/10/2019
Rams at Steelers—Free pick is Pittsburgh Steelers +4. Steelers have been competitive despite losing Ben Roethlisberger for the season. Team has won three straight and covered five of their past six games after a two point home win to the Indianapolis Colts. Steelers defense has played well as in their past three games holding opponents to 302 yards with 3.7 yards per rush. In that span the Rams are running poorly at 3.7 per attempt. They travel to a cold weather city in a late afternoon game in Pittsburgh. Sun will likely set by the second quarter and it will be cold. There is rain and win in the forecast. We saw the Rams struggle under Jared Goff in a cold weather game in Chicago last year on a Sunday night. Their past two wins came against bad teams in the Falcons and Cincinnati. Rams could only score 24 on the Bengals defense and their defense surrendered 401 yards with 297 through the air. Don’t want anything to do with Goff in cold and wet weather without a run game to help him. Play Pittsburgh +4.
Carolina Panthers vs. Green Bay Packers Pick Prediction 11/10/2019
Panthers at Packers—NFL pick is Carolina Panthers +5.5. Green Bay offense struggled with the pressure from the LA Chargers pass rush last week. Carolina can get to the passer as they do have a good defense. The Packers defense is giving up a lot as in their past three games allowing 421 yards with 287 passing for 72.6% completion rate. Panthers came with a good offensive showing with 370 yards in their 30-20 win against a good defensive team in the Tennessee Titans. Panthers offense has been good in the red zone ranking in the top third behind their talented back Christian McCaffery. Kyle Allen gets the start on Sunday as Cam Newton will not play. Panthers have won five of six with Allen under center. Green Bay is in the lower third in the league offensively on third down. Play Carolina +5.5.
Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers Pick Prediction 11/10/2019
Seahawks at 49ers—NFL free pick is San Francisco 49ers -6. San Francisco moved their record to 8-0 with a road win at Arizona on a short week on Thursday night facing travel. Now they get the extra rest in this spot. At home the 49ers have been strong with 423 yards average with 225 rushing for 5.7 yards per attempt. They are putting up 35.3 points per game in their stadium. San Francisco has been solid on defense holding opponents to 241 yards with 138 passing. Issue with Seattle of late has been the play of their defense. Past three games team is surrendering 422 yards per game with 4.7 per rush. In that span teams are passing for 300 yards and completing 66.4% of their passes. San Francisco is third in the NFL offensive and defensively on third down. Best in the league defensively inside the red zone. Seahawks have allowed over 400 yards of offense in four of their past five games. Running back Chris Carson is carrying a heavy load for Seattle as backup running back Rashaad Penny is not being used a lot. Play San Francisco -6.