Free College Football Picks For Today 11/4/2019
LSU vs. Alabama Pick Prediction 11/9/2019
LSU at Alabama—College football pick is LSU Tigers -6.5. Like the look of this Tigers offense. Over their past three games the team is averaging 477 yards per game with 163 rushing for 5.2 per run. Joe Burrow the LSU quarter in that span is passing for 313 yards with 77.2% completion rate. Those numbers came against Auburn, Mississippi St and Florida. Alabama dealing with concerns with their starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa with an ankle injury. Backup Mac Jones doesn’t have the downfield passing skills of Tua. LSU has covered their past five on the road. Crimson Tide defense did allow 324 yards passing to South Carolina and 264 to Texas A&M. Those were the two best quarterbacks they have faced this season. The other SEC quarterbacks Crimson Tide have faced were Ole Miss, Arkansas and Tennessee. This game can land three of four and you win no matter who wins. Play LSU +6.5.
Penn St vs. Minnesota Pick Prediction 11/9/2019
Penn St at Minnesota—College football free pick is Minnesota Golden Gophers +7. Penn St faces their best offensive opponent on the road in this spot. In their past three games the Golden Gophers are moving the football for 463 yards with 280 rushing for 5.7 yards per attempt. The other side of the football has been good as well as the team in that span holding opponents to 232 yards per game and only 47.9% completion rate. They did pound Nebraska at home 34-7. Penn St toughest test on the road resulted in a 17-12 win at Iowa. Golden Gophers quarterback Tanner Morgan is completing 64.4% of his passes against the Big Ten with 12 touchdowns and 2 picks. Nittany Lions offense past three game is posting only 298 yards with sophomore quarterback Sean Clifford passing for 162 yards and 54.3% completion rate with only six yards per attempt. Rather take the points in this spot. Play Minnesota +7.
Iowa vs. Wisconsin Pick Prediction 11/9/2019
Iowa at Wisconsin—Free pick is Iowa Hawkeyes +10. Fell it may be a bit too many points to lay in what could be a defensive struggle with such a low total in this game. Hawkeyes past three games are holding opponents to 285 yards defending the run effectively with 91 yards allowed for 2.6 yards per attempt. Badgers have lost two straight with a one point defeat at Illinois and 38-7 at Ohio St. With the Hawkeyes stopping the run it exposes quarterback Jack Doan for Wisconsin who has thrown for 180 yards or fewer in five of his past six games. His completion rate under 50% in six of his eight games. Play Iowa +10.
Missouri vs. Georgia Pick Prediction 11/9/2019
Missouri at Georgia—College football pick is Georgia Bulldogs -14.5. Tigers quarterback Kelly Bryant has not been effective in his past two starts against Kentucky and Vanderbilt on the road that resulted in losses in both games. Tigers scored only 14 at Vanderbilt and 7 at Kentucky Bryant is questionable with a hamstring. Georgia returns home after an impressive win at Florida. Bulldogs defense has allowed no greater than 17 regulation points this season. Bulldogs offense past three games has shown balance with 178 rushing and 203 passing yardage. Along with their quarterback issue the Tigers defense is struggling in that three game span surrendering 371 yards with 217 rushing for 4.8 yards per rush. Past two seasons the Bulldogs have scored 43 and 53 points on the Missouri defense. Play Georgia -14.5.
Iowa St vs. Oklahoma Pick Prediction 11/9/2019
Iowa St at Oklahoma—College football free pick is Iowa St Cyclones +13.5. Iowa St has been competitive the past three season against the Sooners covering their past three meetings. Cyclones on the season has played many close games losing no game by more than a touchdown. Overall Oklahoma has failed to cover three of four after their road defeat 48-41 at Kansas St. Iowa St is moving the football as in their past three games averaging 468 yards with 329 passing. Iowa St quarterback Brock Purdy is completing 68.5% of his passes. In recent road games at Texas Tech Purdy had 378 yards passing and at Baylor 342 yards passing. Cyclones have been defending holding opponents to 333 yards past three games. Iowa St generates enough offense to cover in this spot. Play Iowa St +13.5.
Baylor vs. TCU Pick Prediction 11/9/2019
Baylor at TCU—Free pick is TCU Horned Frogs -1. TCU has had Baylor’s number as the Horned Frogs have won four straight and covered eight of their past ten head to head meetings. At home against the Big 12 the Horned Frogs has wins against the Longhorns by 10 and Kansas Jayhawks 51-14. In their home stadium the Horned Frogs move the football for 492 yards with 229 rushing for 5.1 yards per rush. Quarterback Max Duggan upgraded at home for the Horned Frogs with 70% completion rate and 273 yards to Texas with 73% completions against Kansas. Baylor past three games on defense allowing 399 yards with 251 passing. At home the Horned Frogs defend better. Baylor did need a field goal last to beat a down West Virginia program at home last week scoring only 17 points. They also needed overtime three games back in a three point home win to Texas Tech. Play TCU -1.
Maryland vs. Ohio St Pick Prediction 11/9/2019
Maryland at Ohio St—College football pick is Ohio St and Maryland to play over the total of 64 points. These teams have played to over in five straight head to head meetings. Buckeyes have scored 62 points twice in their past three meetings with 52 on the road last year. Ohio St has the offense to put this game over on their own. Past three games the Buckeyes are averaging 480 yards with 288 rushing for 6.4 yards per rush. Terrapins rush defense has been poor allowing 221 yards in that span for 5.8 yards per rush. The next two games coming off the bye week for the Buckeyes are against Maryland and Rutgers which are two teams they have pounded in the past. Look for the defense to get more intense in their final two games as they battle Penn St at home and Michigan on the road. We could see Ohio St give up enough points to Maryland to push this one over. Play Maryland and Ohio St over the total of 64.
Kansas St vs. Texas Pick Prediction 11/9/2019
Kansas St at Texas—College football free pick is Kansas St Wildcats +5.5. Wildcats have playing their best right now as it is a three game win streak after their 38-10 road win at an improved Kansas team. There was no letdown by Kansas St after their 48-41 home win to Oklahoma two weeks ago. Past five games Wildcats offense moving the football for 390 yards with 222 rushing for 5 yards per run. Texas has lost and failed to cover two of three. The Longhorns defense is struggling in those three games have allowed an average of 505 yards with 232 rushing for 5.9 yards per run. Longhorns have allowed 30 or greater points in five straight. Wildcats junior quarterback Skyler Thompson is keeping defenses off balance wit his effective running ability as he has scored seven rushing touchdowns in his past two games. Past three head to head meetings Kansas St has covered two with a push. Longhorns quarterback Sam Elinger five interceptions past two games. Play Kansas St +5.5.
USC vs. Arizona St Pick Prediction 11/9/2019
USC at Arizona St—Free pick is USC and Arizona St to play over the total of 57 points. Things will be a big easier for the Trojans in Tempe as they were pounded at home to a good Oregon team. Still the Trojans produced 24 pints in their defeat. But the USC defense has surrendered 30 or greater points in three of their past four games and in two straight road games. Away from home USC gives up 449 yards and 30 points per game with 207 rushing for 5.3 yards per attempt. ASU has shown improvement on offense while their defense has struggled. In their home games in the PAC 12 the Sun Devils posted 38 points on Washington St in a win and 31 to Colorado in defeat. Trojans have talented receiving corps that can make plays after the catch. Trojans past three games are averaging 44 passing plays for 305 yards. In that span Sun Devils allowing 277 yards passing and 65.5% completion rate. Play USC and Arizona St over 57.
Clemson vs. NC State Pick Prediction 11/9/2019
Clemson at NC State—College football pick is Clemson Tigers -31. In their meeting last season, it was the Tigers winning 41-7 at NC State and the Wolfpack had an NFL starting quarterback under center in Ryan Finley. NC State is having problems with their offense. They have been held to 16 points or fewer in three of their past four games including last week in a 44-10 defeat at Wake Forest. Past three games team is generating only 331 yards offensively with 3.2 yards per carry. NC State has shuffled in three quarterbacks to find a starter to lead this team with no success. Last week it was third string freshman quarterback Devin Leary who completed 38% of his passes in a loss at Wake Forest. Past three games Clemson holding opponents to 232 yards of offense while gaining 642 on offense. Recent road game the Tigers traveled up to Louisville and won 45-10. Recent home games resulted in a 59-7 win to Boston College and 45-14 to Florida St. Play Clemson -31.
Notre Dame vs. Duke Pick Prediction 11/9/2019
Notre Dame at Duke—College football free pick is Notre Dame Fighting Irish -6. Duke has struggled in their step up games this season. This is an inexperienced Blue Devils team and the Fighting Irish are experienced. Offense showed poorly scoring 17 at NC State and 10 at Virginia in their past two games. Duke has lost and failed to cover three of four. Blue Devils offense past three games gaining only 3.2 yards per carry on the ground with quarterback Quentin Harris completing only 51.6% of his throws. He is a senior quarterback who didn’t earn the starting job until his final year of eligibility. Fighting Irish defense held their own in a road game at Georgia. Fighting Irish woke up in time to beat Virginia Tech at home late. Their past two road games came against strong defenses at Michigan and Georgia. It will be easier for them here. Play Notre Dame -6.
Tennessee vs. Kentucky Pick Prediction 11/9/2019
Tennessee at Kentucky—Free pick is Kentucky Wildcats -2.5. Wildcats come off their bye week after their 29-7 home win to Missouri. Kentucky has covered all three of their home games against the SEC this season. Their defense has responded the past three games allowing 291 yards with 16 points per game. They have gotten a spark at quarterback from Lynn Bowden Jr. who had 204 rushing yards and two touchdowns in their win to Missouri. The dual threat quarterback is averaging 8 yards per carry on the ground. Tennessee hits the road where they have been pounded in both games at Alabama and Florida. This is an offense that has struggled running with 3.3 yards per carry over their past three games. That will make things tough for quarterback Jarrett Guarantano who has not been very accurate. Play Kentucky -2.5.
Vanderbilt vs. Florida Pick Prediction 11/9/2019
Vanderbilt at Florida—College football pick is Vanderbilt and Florida to play under the total of 49. Commodores offense is inexperienced as they are replacing a four year starter this season. Team has been held to ten points or fewer in three of their past four games. Commodores defense hung tough in a 24-7 road defeat at South Carolina. Past three games Commodores offense averaging only 270 yards. Their transfer quarterback Riley Neal has been dealing with injury concerns. Junior quarterback Deuce McCallister is completing only 44.7% in SEC games with no touchdowns and three picks. Florida defense should have their way with this Vandy offense. They held Tennessee to three points at home in SEC play. Florida has struggled rushing the football with 3.7 yards per attempt past three games and the Commodores have defended the run well in that span at four yards per carry. Play Vanderbilt and Florida under 49.
Louisville vs. Miami Pick Prediction 11/9/2019
Louisville at Miami—College football free pick is Louisville and Miami to play under the total of 51.5. Hurricanes return home on a two game win streak after outstanding defensive performances in wins at Pittsburgh and Florida St. Freshman quarterback Jarren Williams returned as starter and didn’t turn over the football. They have held five of their past seven opponents to 12 points or fewer. Louisville now faces a strong defensive team. They faced a good defensive team at home to Clemson and were held to only 10 points. Cardinals run game on the road has not got going with only 3.9 yards per rush average on 47 carries per game. On the road they run 67% of the time. That puts pressure on their sophomore quarterback Micale Cunningham and freshman Evan Conley who have combined for only 54.1% completions past three games. Louisville has been forced to use their second and third string quarterbacks as starter Jawon Pass is out for the season with a toe injury. Play Louisville and Miami under 51.5.