Free NFL Picks For Today 10/22/2019
Washington Redskins vs. Minnesota Vikings Pick Prediction 10/24/2019
Redskins at Vikings—NFL pick is Minnesota Vikings -16. Minnesota has played very well at home winning and covering all three games. Margin of victory for the Vikings at home has been by 16 points or greater and has averaged 33.3 points per game. Washington offense was shut out at home facing a physical San Francisco team last week. Redskins past four games have averaged nearly 7 points per game. Playing in Minnesota is a very tough environment for visiting teams as the Vikings pass rush is more fierce and effective. Bill Callahan has taken over for the fired Jay Gruden as head coach and faces a very short week of preparation. Minnesota quarterback Kirk Cousins has been more effective the past three games getting the ball to his playmakers. Minnesota is averaging 5 yards per carry on the ground which is opening big plays in the passing game on play action. Vikings are the top offense in the red zone. Redskins offense 31st on third down and the defense is struggling stopping drives ranking 30th. Play Minnesota -16.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons Pick Prediction 10/27/2019
Seahawks at Falcons—NFL free pick is Seattle Seahawks -3.5. Seahawks have won and covered all of their road games at the Browns, Cardinals and Steelers. This Seahawks team is running and passing nearly equally now. Seahawks can exploit this poor Falcons defense through the air. Quarterback Russell Wilson is completing 68.3% of his passes this season with 15 touchdowns and a pick. Falcons are off to a 1-6 start to the season after their 37-10 home loss to the LA Rams. Atlanta in their past three games are allowing 41 points and 471 yards per game with 352 through the air. Quarterback Matt Ryan is banged up with a bum ankle. Falcons have failed to cover six of seven. Seahawks defense is fifth best in the league on third down. Atlanta defense 32nd and last on third down and 28th in the red zone. Play Seattle -3.5.
LA Chargers vs. Chicago Bears Pick Prediction 10/27/2019
Chargers at Bears—Free pick is Chicago Bears -4.5. Tough to back the Chargers. Back to back road games after their 23-20 road defeat at Tennessee. Team is dealing with multiple injuries on defense then just lost guard Forrest Lamp with a broken leg for the season. Chargers offense has struggled and they have lost three straight against losing bad offensive teams. LAC one dimensional as they have rushed for 39 yards or fewer in three straight. Bears defense will be able to exploit this weakness for the Chargers. Chicago has struggled the past two games against teams with a good balanced attack. That doesn’t fit the Chargers profile LA sits 31st defensively on third down and 29th in the red zone. Play Chicago Bears -4.5.
Arizona Cardinals vs. New Orleans Saints Pick Prediction 10/27/2019
Cardinals at Saints—NFL pick is New Orleans Saints -8.5. Arizona has piled up wins recently against bad defensive teams in the Giants, Bengals and Falcons. When they faced teams with good defenses the Cardinals fell by 17 to Seattle and Carolina by 18 at home. Saints have won and covered five straight with Teddy Bridgewater under center. New Orleans defense holding teams to 21 points per game and get off the field sitting eighth on third down. Cardinals pass defense poor allowing 263 yards and 69.8% completion rate. Teams are running for 129.1 yards on Arizona with 4.7 yards per attempt. New Orleans defense has allowed 252 yards per game or less in four straight. Cardinals offense 31st in red zone. Play New Orleans -8.5.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Buffalo Bills Pick Prediction 10/27/2019
Eagles at Bills—NFL free pick is Buffalo Bills -2. Tough to back Philadelphia on the road where they allow 31 points and 426 yards per game. Bills sit at 5-1 and will have a good home field advantage in their stadium because the team is good. Buffalo defense holding opponents to just 15.2 points and 292 yards per game. Philadelphia has committed seven turnovers in their past two games. Bills offense sit second in the league inside the red zone. Their run game is generating 4.9 yards per rush. Buffalo should be able to exploit the Eagles poor pass defense on play action with their run working this season. Play Buffalo -2.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Tennessee Titans Pick Prediction 10/27/2019
Buccaneers at Titans—Free pick is Tennessee Titans -2.5. Tennessee quarterback Ryan Tannehill has upgraded the team on offense. They had a season high of 403 offensive yards in their home win to the LA Chargers. On the season Tannehill has completed 80% of his passes. Titans defense has been very good holding teams to 328 yards and 16 points per game. They sit fourth in the league defensively on third down. Tampa Bay is a poor defensive team allowing 372 yards with 304 passing. Bucs have lost three of four giving up 31 points or greater in all four of those games. Jameis Winston has thrown ten interceptions. Tampa Bay has looked bad against good defensive teams. Play Tennessee -2.5.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. LA Rams Pick Prediction 10/27/2019
Bengals vs. Rams—NFL pick is LA Rams -13. This game is played in London. Cincinnati fell to 0-7 after their ten point home loss to Jacksonville. This is an offense that has struggled as they average only 305 yards and 16.3 points per game. Bengals run game has produced only 2.9 yards per rush. Team is also dealing with cluster injuries on both sides of the football including their offensive line. Rams face back to back poor defensive teams. LA put up 37 on the Falcons last week on the road behind 291 passing yards. Bengals are the worst offense the Rams have faced this season. Corner Jalen Ramsey is an improvement to the Rams pass defense. Bengals past three games team has allowed 490 yards with six yards per carry and 250 rushing. Play LA Rams -13.
Denver Broncos vs. Indianapolis Colts Pick Prediction 10/27/2019
Broncos at Colts—NFL pick is Indianapolis Colts -6. Broncos another poor offensive showing as they could only put up six points against the Chiefs defense in a 24 point home defeat. Past three game Denver is averaging only 275 yards per game. Broncos allowed nine sacks to their immobile quarterback Joe Flacco. Broncos sit 29th offensively on third down and 26th in the red zone. Colts have won two straight and four of their past five. Their loss came to Oakland but the Colts were missing key playmakers in their passing game. Now they are healthy again. Indianapolis has covered six of seven at home to Denver. Colts quarterback Jacoby Brissett is completing 65% of his passes with 14 touchdowns and 3 picks. Team is good on third down and red zone. Play Indianapolis -6.
New York Giants vs. Detroit Lions Pick Prediction 10/27/2019
Giants at Lions—NFL free pick is New York Giants +7. Detroit enters play on a three game losing steak after a 12 point home loss to the Minnesota Vikings. Lions in their past three games is allowing 455 yards and 28.7 points per game. In that span the team is allowing 4.9 yards per rush with 313 passing. Giants running back Saquan Barkley is expected to play his second game since his return from injury. He is averaging 5.6 yards per rush and that type of production will help Daniel Jones in the passing game. Detroit defense 26th on third down. Giants success came against bad defensive teams in the Redskins and Buccaneers. Play New York Giants +7.
Carolina Panthers vs. San Francisco 49ers Pick Prediction 10/27/2019
Panthers at 49ers—Free pick is San Francisco 49ers -5.5. 49ers are a very good defensive team as they are holding opponents to 223 yards and 10.7 points per game. They did hold the Rams on the road to just seven points. Carolina has shown improvement with Kyle Allen at quarterback with a four game win streak. Panthers defense past three games are allowing 392 yards with 4.9 yards per rush. Defensively the 49ers are third on third down and best in the red zone. Play San Francisco -5.5.
Oakland Raiders vs. Houston Texans Pick Prediction 10/27/2019
Raiders at Texans—NFL pick is Oakland Raiders and Houston Texans to play over the total of 50.5. Both teams have shown the ability to run the football as each average 4.9 yards per carry. That help extends drives and helps with big plays in the passing game downfield. Defensively Oakland is struggling in pass defense giving up 293 yards and 67.5% completion rate. Houston as well with 275 yards allowed and an identical 67.5% completion rate. Raiders defense 29th on third down and 31st in the red zone. Their offense can extend drives sitting 2nd best in the league on third down. Texans defense 27th on third down and 30th in the red zone. Then offense fourth best in the league on third down and red zone. Past three games both defenses allowing about 29 points per game. Play Oakland and Houston over 50.5.
Green Bay Packers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick Prediction 10/27/2019
Packers at Chiefs—NFL free pick is Kansas City Chiefs +5.5. Chiefs on a short week and facing travel put on a good defensive effort in their win at Denver on Thursday night 30-6. Chiefs registered nine sacks and held the Broncos to 205 yards of offense and only 71 rushing yards. Matt Moore takes over for an injured Patrick Mahomes and will be asked to be a game manager. Packers are winning despite a defense that has allowed 448 yards in their past three games with 4.6 yards per rush. Sammie Watkins has been limited in practice and is close to coming back at wide receiver for KC. We could see many players returning from injury for the Chiefs in this spot. Packers couldn’t cover in a recent home game against Detroit with three turnovers. Play Kansas City +5.5.
Miami Dolphins vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Pick Prediction 10/28/2019
Dolphins at Steelers—Free pick is Miami Dolphins +14.5. Must look at the Dolphins a bit different now. They have been competitive in their past two games and has covered both games. The team is better with Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback because of his ability to make plays downfield. Team was able to gain 381 yards on a good Buffalo defense. Past three games Miami is holding opponents to 335 yards and 3.8 yards per rush with their passing game at 65.7% completion rate. Under Mike Tomlin of late these are the type of opponents that have frustrated Steeler fans as the team has played down to their competition. Mason Rudolph has cleared concussion protocol and will start. This is a 2-4 Steelers team that has struggled to move the ball at home with 285 yards per game and only 3.7 yards per rush average. Steelers offense has gained under 300 yards in four of their past five games. Pittsburgh offense lower third in the league on third down and 28th in the red zone. Plus, their defense does a poor job of getting off the field on third down. Dolphins generate enough points to cover here. Play Miami +14.5.