Free College Football Picks For Today 10/16/2019
South Alabama vs. Troy Pick Prediction 10/16/2019
South Alabama at Troy—College football pick is Troy -15. Trojans can move the football with 452 yards per game. At home they put up 43 to Arkansas St and 42 to Southern Miss. Their run game at home generates 4.7 yards per rush. Senior quarterback Kaleb Barker 63.7% completion rate with 14 touchdowns and 4 picks. South Alabama’s only win came against an FCS team. They have not faced a tough schedule, yet the Jaguars have averaged only 11 points per game against their four FBS opponents in Memphis, UAB, UL Monroe and Georgia St. Sophomore quarterback Cephus Johnson completing only 53.6% of his passes with five touchdowns and five picks. Team averages only 293 yards per game on the road. Play Troy -15.
NC State vs. Boston College Pick Prediction 10/19/2019
NC State at Boston College—College football free pick is Boston College Eagles +3.5. Eagles lost quarterback Anthony Brown for the season. His completion rate was 59% on the season. Dennis Grosel a sophomore is a backup and rallied the team to near victory as the comeback fell two points short. Grosel threw three touchdowns and a pick and gets reps at practice this week with the first team. BC a good running team that averages 5.1 yards per rush behind NFL prospect at running back AJ Dillon who has rushed for 745 yards. NC State has been held to 16 points or fewer in their two ACC games. Wolfpack has turned to sophomore Bailey Hockman with only 57.1% completion rate with a touchdown and two picks. NC State has had trouble finding a replacement for Ryan Finley. Matthew McKay completed only 57% with 6.6 yards per attempt and was benched. Hockman’s first road start. BC has covered three straight and has covered 5 of 6 against NC State at home. Play Boston College +3.5.
Purdue vs. Iowa Pick Prediction 10/19/2019
Purdue at Iowa—Free pick is Iowa Hawkeyes -18. A step down in class for Iowa after facing Michigan and Penn St in back to back games. Hawkeyes have pounded the poor defensive teams they have meet this season. At home Iowa moves the football for 475 yards runs for 207 yards for 5.1 yards per rush. Senior quarterback Nate Stanley at home has completed 62.7% of his passes with nine touchdowns and a pick. Tough task for Purdue freshman quarterback Jack Plummer in a road game facing a good Iowa defense that holds opponents to 220 yards per game in their home stadium. In his road start at Penn St, Plummer completed only 48% in a 35-7 defeat in their only road game. Iowa defense holding teams to 10.2 points per game. Play Iowa -18.
Wisconsin vs. Illinois Pick Prediction 10/19/2019
Wisconsin at Illinois—College football pick is Wisconsin Badgers -31. Wisconsin coming off a 38-0 home win to Michigan St. They beat Michigan 35-14 at home. Their run game generates 248 yards with 5.4 yards per rush. Quarterback Jack Doan is completing 76.3% of his passes with eight touchdowns and a pick. It is now four straight losses for Illinois. In their three games against the Big Ten the Fighting Illini is giving up 555 yards with 333 rushing for six yards per rush. In that span the team is giving up 41.3 points per game. Defensively Badgers allowing only 173 yards per game. Badgers rushed for 357 yards on Illinois last year and this year their defense and quarterback play is better. Play Wisconsin -31.
North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech Pick Prediction 10/19/2019
North Carolina at Virginia Tech—College football free pick is North Carolina Tar Heels -3.5. Tar Heels return home after a 38-22 win at Georgia Tech. This is an improved Tar Heels team under head coach Mack Brown. They are moving the football for 425 yards per game. Quarterback Sam Howell is completing 63.1% of his throws with 15 touchdowns and 3 picks. Tar Heels have notable wins to Miami and South Carolina. Virginia Tech was aided by five Miami turnovers in their recent seven point win. Hokies defense has struggled in their ACC games allowing 35 points to Boston College, 45 to Duke and 35 to Miami. They are not getting accuracy from their quarterbacks. In the Miami game sophomore Hendon Hooker completed only 50% of his passes. Play North Carolina -3.5.
Temple vs. SMU Pick Prediction 10/19/2019
Temple at SMU—Free pick is SMU Mustangs -7.5. Tough to back Temple on the road. They couldn’t cover at East Carolina and suffered a 16 point road defeat to a rebuilding Buffalo team from the MAC. SMU is 6-0 behind talented junior quarterback a Texas transfer Shane Buechele. The Mustangs signal caller is completing 67% of his passes with 12 touchdowns and 5 picks. Temple offense has not been sharp on the road with only 3.7 yards per rush. Quarterback Anthony Russo completing only 59% of his passes with 13 touchdowns and 6 picks. Recent games Russo completed only 40% against Georgia Tech and 49% with three picks at Buffalo. Mustangs are putting up 44 points per game. Play SMU -7.5.
Tulsa vs. Cincinnati Pick Prediction 10/19/2019
Tulsa at Cincinnati—College football pick is Cincinnati Bearcats -17. Cincinnati ran their win and cover streak to four straight after their 38-23 win at Houston. Prior to that was a three point victory to UCF. This is good Bearcats defense holding opponents to 339 yards per game and only 3.6 per rush. At home it has been better at 2.1 per carry. Tulsa has faced a touch schedule dropping games at SMU 43-37 then last week losing at home to Navy 45-17. They have allowed 40 points or greater in three of their past four games with the lone exception at home to Wyoming. Tulsa has struggled defending the run allowing 220 yards and 4.7 yards per rush. Play Cincinnati -17.
Kansas vs. Texas Pick Prediction 10/19/2019
Kansas at Texas—College football pick is Kansas Jayhawks +22. Jayhawks have covered three straight against the Longhorns. They do come off the bye week following a cover at home to Oklahoma. Jayhawks can slow the game down on the ground as the team is rushing for 4.9 yards per rush with 33 carries per game. Senior quarterback Carter Stanley is completing 65% of his passes with 12 touchdowns and 4 picks. Issue here is with the Texas defense. They are giving up 453 yards per game. West Virginia gained 463 yards on the Longhorns and Louisiana Tech 413 yards. Oklahoma St did gain 494 yards on Texas. Longhorns also banged up following game against Oklahoma last week and their defensive end out with targeting penalty last week. Play Kansas +22.
Boise St vs. BYU Pick Prediction 10/19/2019
Boise St at BYU—College football free pick is Boise St Broncos -6.5. It is now a three game losing streak for BYU following back to back road losses at Toledo and USF. They lost starting quarterback Zach Wilson with a thumb injury. Freshman quarterback Jaren Hall is hopeful to return if not the team looks to a third string quarterback. He was under center in the Cougars loss at a down USF team. Boise St quarterback Hank Bachmeier is questionable with a hip. Sophomore Chase Cord has put up good numbers against Hawaii going 12 of 18 for 175 yards and three touchdowns last week. BYU defense allowing 4.8 yards per rush and 68.9% completion rate. Cougars have home losses to Utah by 18 and Washington by 26. Play Boise St -6.5.
Nevada vs. Utah St Pick Prediction 10/19/2019
Nevada at Utah St—Free pick is Nevada +21. Utah St returns home after a blowout road loss at LSU. Many of their games have been close. They couldn’t cover at home to Colorado St winning 34-24 and has a six point win at San Diego St. Aggies are surrendering 281 yards passing this season. They have won four of six this season with a home win to Purdue. They piled up 541 yards on San Jose St last week in their win. Aggies defense may not be able to keep Nevada down in scoring. Wolf Pack has shown the ability to move the ball through the air. Play Nevada +21.
Air Force vs. Hawaii Pick Prediction 10/19/2019
Air Force at Hawaii—College football pick is Air Force and Hawaii to play over the total of 63.5 points. This game has the look of a high scoring game. Hawaii offense has been strong at home moving the football for 498 yards per game. Quarterback Cole McDonald is completing 66.7% of his throws with 20 touchdowns and 9 picks. In his past three games McDonald has thrown 11 touchdowns and one pick. Falcons haven’t seen this type of spread attack from Hawaii in some time as these teams play in different divisions in the Mountain West. Hawaii defense sees a triple option offense here. Air Force is averaging 297 yards rushing with 5.1 yards per rush while the Rainbow Warriors giving up 180 yards rushing for 5.3 yards per attempt. Falcons defense does allow 64.5% completion rate. Expect big plays by both offenses here. Play Air Force and Hawaii over 63.5 points.
Arizona St vs. Utah Pick Prediction 10/19/2019
Arizona St at Utah—College football free pick is Arizona St Sun Devils +13.5. ASU has won and covered the past two meetings with the Utes. Must respect this Sun Devils team who have recent wins at home to Washington St and on the road to a good defensive team in California. Their offense is showing signs of improvement as they are gaining 402 yards per game overall. Freshman quarterback Jayden Daniels is completing 63.1% of his throws with eight touchdowns and a pick. He has speed and can get to the outside if you break containment. Last week he completed 72.2% of his passes with three touchdowns and no picks against Washington St. Sun Devils defense holding team to only 3 yards per rush. Utes a good team but struggled defending the pass against USC in defeat. Only loss of the season for the Sun Devils came to Colorado by three. At home the Utes have failed to cover two of three. ASU generates enough offense to cover this number. Play Arizona ST +13.5.
Houston vs. UCONN Pick Prediction 10/19/2019
Houston at UCONN—Free pick is Houston Cougars -22. UCONN is playing poorly. Over their past three games the Huskies have allowed 51 points and 581 yards per game. Teams are rushing for 5.7 yards per attempt and completing 69.2% of their passes. Houston with sophomore quarterback Charlie Tune under center traveled to North Texas and came away with a 46-25 win. On the season Houston is rushing for 242 yards per game with 6.2 yards per rush. They will exploit the poor UCONN rush defense. Play Houston -22.
Indiana vs. Maryland Pick Prediction 10/19/2019
Indiana at Maryland—College football pick is Indiana and Maryland to play over the total of 58.5 points. Past four seasons these teams were involved in high scoring games with each one landing over the total by good distance. Indiana has a passing game that generates 302 yards per game. Michael Penix is completing 69.5% of his passes with nine touchdowns and three picks. In a recent game against Michigan St Penix completed 78.6% of his throws for 286 yards and three touchdowns. Maryland has s a strong running game that generates 212 yards per game with 5.6 per rush. If Josh Jackson can’t got then it will be Tyrell Pigrome who is a run threat at quarterback for the Terrapins. He has seen action the past three seasons. At Purdue he had 218 yards passing and 107 yards on the ground. At home Maryland has averaged 467 yards and 47.3 points per game. Play Indiana and Maryland over 58.5 points.