Free NFL Picks For Today 10/8/2019
New York Giants vs. New England Patriots Pick Prediction 10/10/2019
Giants at Patriots—NFL pick is New England Patriots -17. Tough spot for the Giants on a short week with a rookie quarterback following a game with a physical Minnesota Vikings team. New York lost 28-10 to the Viking and the Patriots are better defensively. On the season the Patriots defense is holding opponents to 238 yards per game. Now Tom Brady and the Patriots offense is facing a bad New York defense that is surrendering 409 yards per game with 279 passing and 67.5% completion rate. Patriots passing for 279 yards and at home should be able to exploit this Giants defense. Daniel Jones a rookie quarterback must face a Bill Belichick defense and rookies have not had success against him. Giants dealing with injuries to Saquan Barkley and now starting wide receiver Sterling Shepard is in concussion protocol. Also, in concussion protocol is backup running back Wayne Gallman. New England top ranked defense on third down and red zone. Running game got going for New England last week. Giants defense has allowed 490 yards or greater in three of five games. Play New England -17.
Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick Prediction 10/13/2019
Panthers vs. Bucs—NFL free pick is Carolina Panthers-2. Must respect the performance of his Panthers team after beating a revived Jaguars team 34-27 for their third straight games. Kyle Allen is completing 66.7% of his passes with five touchdowns and no picks. Christian McCaffrey is OK just had cramps as he left the field in the win. Tampa Bay defense was torched again giving up 31 points and 457 yards to a Saints team using a backup quarterback. Tampa Bay has allowed 31 points or greater in four of their five games. Now they face a good defensive team in Carolina who has turned their season around when Cam Newton went down with his foot injury. Buccaneers offense 21st on third down and red zone. Tampa Bay has two starters out on their offense line and will be playing their third straight game on the road. Huge difference with Allen at quarterback with 8.6 yards per pass attempt with Cam averaging only 5.9 yards. Kyle Allen is 10% more accurate then Newton. Play Carolina -2.
New Orleans Saints vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Pick Prediction 10/13/2019
Saints at Jaguars—Free pick is New Orleans Saints at a pick. Panthers are 3-0 with Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback. Key to this has been the play of the Saints defense that has given up an average of 20 points per game. Bridgewater had a good game last week against division rival Buccaneers with 345 yards passing. Offense has been good on third down. Jaguars return home after a physical battle with Carolina and losing 34-27. Jaguars faced a good offensive team at home in the Chiefs in the opener and allowed 40 points in defeat. Jacksonville did give up 445 yards to the Panthers offense with 285 rushing. Jaguars 26th on third down and 27th in the red zone this season. Play New Orleans at a pick.
Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick Prediction 10/13/2019
Texans at Chiefs—NFL pick is Houston Texans +5. Kansas City is dealing with injuries. Tyreek Hill has a broken collar bone and Sammy Watkins has a hamstring injury that forced him to exit the game against the Colts. Texans a balanced offense that is running for 5.1 yards per carry and throwing for 252 yards and 69% completion rate. Kansas City is giving up 155 yards rushing and 5.3 yards per rush. That should open passing plays for the Texans on the Chiefs defense. KC lost several players on defense in game against the Colts last week and sat many starters to injury as well. Mahomes did tweak his ankle on Sunday night. Houston balance on offense keeps them in this game allowing to generate enough points to cover here. Play Houston Texans +5.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Minnesota Vikings Pick Prediction 10/13/2019
Eagles at Vikings—NFL free pick is Minnesota Vikings -3. Vikings have been a strong home team. They have wins by 16 to Atlanta and by 20 to Oakland. They enter play off a 28-10 win at the Giants. Vikings defense is holding opponents to just 292 yards per game with 3.6 yards per rush. They are eighth in the league on third down and fifth in the red zone. Viking showed some confidence in opening their passing game last week in their win at New York with 279 yards. Eagles have been weak defending the pass this season giving up 271 yards per game. Eagles took some injuries to their defense and wide receiver DeSean Jackson is dealing with an ab injury. Vikings pass rush very good at home will make if difficult for Carson Wentz to operate. Play Minnesota -3.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens Pick Prediction 10/13/2019
Bengals at Ravens—NFL pick is Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens to play under the total of 48 points. Bengals have shown poor offensive form away from home. In their past three road games they have been held to 17 points at Buffalo and 3 at Pittsburgh. Their offense is averaging only 313 yards per game with only 3.3 yards per rush. This will bring up down and distance for Andy Dalton and his pass protection has been poor. Ravens are a good running team and can get a comfortable lead and take time off the clock on the ground. AJ Green will not return for Cincinnati this week. Wide out John Ross also dealing with an injury. The Bengals past five on the road have come under. Ravens defensively have done a good job getting off the field on third down ranking ninth in the league. Cincinnati offense ranks in the lower half of the league on third down. Play Baltimore and Cincinnati under 48.
Washington Redskins vs. Miami Dolphins Pick Prediction 10/13/2019
Redskins at Dolphins—NFL free pick is Washington Redskins at Miami Dolphins to play under the total of 41 points. Two bad offensive teams. Redskins averaging only 281 yards and 14.6 points per game. Dolphins 225 yards and 6.5 per contest. Each run game has struggled with the Redskins at 3.9 per rush and the Dolphins 3.0. Miami is 30th in the league on third down and 32nd and last in the red zone. Redskins are 31st on third down and near bottom third in red zone offensively. Dolphins have played to under in three of their four games. Redskins have gone under in their past two scoring three points at the Giants and seven at home to New England. Tough to project any of these teams making it to twenty points each given the fact draft order seems to be of interest for both. Play Washington and Miami under 41.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Arizona Cardinals Pick Prediction 10/13/2019
Falcons at Cardinals—NFL pick is Atlanta Falcons -1.5. Atlanta can move the football as they are posting 380 yards per game with 313 passing and a 70.3% completion rate. Falcons do a good job in run defense. Cardinals have not been a good home team failing to cover 5 of 6. Their offense has had struggled scoring with only 20 points per game. Defensively Arizona is surrendering 408 yards per game with 269 passing for 68.4% completion rate. That is an area that the Falcons can exploit the Cardinals. Arizona is winless at home. Falcons are a desperate 1-4 team facing the weakest team on their schedule thus far. Falcons took an embarrassing loss. Teams tend to respond strongly after that. Their offense is seventh on third down. Arizona 30th in the red zone. Play Atlanta -1.5.
Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Jets Pick Prediction 10/13/2019
Cowboys at Jets—NFL free pick is Dallas Cowboys -8.5. Dallas looking to bounce back from a two game losing streak and find a good opponent to get their offense right. They dropped back to back games to the Saints and Packers. This is a Cowboys offense that is averaging 452 yards with 5.1 yards per rushing and 312 passing with 69.6% completion rate under Dak Prescoot. Jets offense has been miserable by averaging only 179 yards per game. They have been utilizing third string quarterback Luke Falk. Sam Darnold is battling mono and it is unknown if he returns. Even if his medical tests are positive it will be tough for Darnold to be in playing shape after an illness. New York run game generates only 3.1 yards per carry which puts their young quarterbacks in tough down and distance situations. Cowboys offensive fifth on third down and second on defense. New York offensively last in the NFL on third down and 30th defensively in the red zone. Play Dallas -8.5.
Tennessee Titans vs. Denver Broncos Pick Prediction 10/13/2019
Titans at Broncos—Free pick is Tennessee Titans +2.5. Titans are a strong defensive team and have picked up wins on the road to the Falcons and Browns. Defensively they are holding opponents to 332 yards with 15.2 points per game with only 4.4 yards per rush. Chargers were dealing with several injuries on defense which aided to the Denver win. Titans have a pass rush that can give immobile quarterback Joe Flacco trouble. Broncos suffered home losses to the Jaguars and Bears. Titans fit that mold defensively. Play Tennessee +2.5.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. LA Chargers Pick Prediction 10/13/2019
Steelers at Chargers—NFL pick is LA Chargers -6.5. LA coming off a loss to fall to 2-3 will bring intensity into this game. Issue with the Steelers is they suffered an injury to quarterback Mason Rudolph who is in concussion protocol. That means third string quarterback Devlin Hodges a rookie from FCS school Samford will get the start. Prefer to support backup quarterbacks at home and not the road. LA is moving the football for 372 yards with 282 passing with 68.7% completion rate. Steelers offense has suffered losing Ben Roethlisberger as their offense produces only 280 yards per game with 3.5 yards per carry on the ground. Chargers eighth in the league on third down. Pittsburgh 29th offensively on third down and red zone. Play LA Chargers -6.5.
Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers Pick Prediction 10/13/2019
Lions at Packers—NFL free pick is Green Bay Packers -4.5. Green Bay has moved to 4-1 after their 34-24 win at Dallas. Green Bay defense has looked good this season and in their win at Dallas picked off three Dak Prescott passes. Lions defense allowed 424 yards to the Chargers and 438 yards to the Chiefs. Defensively Lions have struggled on third down ranking 27th in the league. Packers defense tenth on third down with the offense fifth best in the red zone. Packers posted wins by 7 at the Bears, by 5 at home to Minnesota and 10 at Dallas. They have won four of five to start the season facing a tough schedule. Play Green Bay -4.5.