Free NFL Picks For Today 9/25/2019
Washington Redskins vs. New York Giants Pick Prediction 9/29/2019
Redskins at Giants—NFL pick is Washington Redskins and New York Giants to play over the total of 47.5 points. These are two week defenses. New York is allowing 460 yards per game on the season with 332 passing and a 68% completion rate. Quarterback Daniel Jones is an upgrade to the New York offense. He has good vision downfield and can make plays with his feet to extend drives. Giants also get the Redskins on a short week after Washington had a physical batter with the Bears. Redskins defense surrendering 402 yards and 31.3 points per game. Team has gone over the total in all three games. Redskins gave up 31 points to a struggling Bears offense. It is a step down in class for the Redskins offense after facing the Cowboys and Bears defense the past two games. Redskins have shown the ability to move the football through the air with 288 yards passing and 69.4% completion rate. Redskins averaging 41 passes and 17 runs. Giants splits are 43 passes and 18 runs. Washington defense 32nd and last on third down. Play Washington and New York Giants over the total of 47.5.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Detroit Lions Pick Prediction 9/29/2019
Chiefs at Lions—NFL free pick is Kansas City Chiefs -6. Chiefs offense is ahead of the Lions currently. Detroit has not been able to generate a run game as the team is averaging only 3.4 yards per rush on an average of 29 carries. KC moves the football for 487 yards per game with 392 in the passing game with 71.3% completion rate. I usually favor an elite offense with a mobile quarterback when the AFC faces the NFC as defenses are not familiar with the offense they are facing since they meet only once every four seasons. I do respect the direction the Lions are moving after their defensive heavy draft. Defensively Lions are allowing 4.8 yards per run. KC gained 503 yards on the Baltimore defense with 363 passing. Chiefs third in the league on third down offense with Lions defense near the bottom of the league getting off the field on third down. Play Kansas City Chiefs -6.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. LA Rams Pick Prediction 9/29/2019
Buccaneers at Rams—Free pick is Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10. Tampa Bay has shown signs of improving on the defensive side of the football. They are holding opponents to 330 yards per game with only 3 yards per rush on an average of 23 carries per game. Linebacker Shaq Barrett has eight sacks in his first three games. Bucs defense has been good on third down and third in the league in the red zone. LA Rams offense line struggles at times holding their blocks as Goff has been taken hits in the pocket. Rams offense didn’t appear sharp in their 20-13 win at Cleveland. They are posting average numbers in yardage, third down and red zone offensively. Play Tampa Bay +10.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals Pick Prediction 9/29/2019
Seahawks at Cardinals—NFL pick is Arizona Cardinals +5. Arizona has covered four straight with a push in their past five head to head with the Seahawks. As an underdog this season the Cardinals have covered both games. Arizona passed the ball well in their games against the Lions and Ravens. Seahawks have failed to cover two of three after their home loss to New Orleans. They got past Cincinnati by one at home to Cincinnati and beat Pittsburgh by two points with Ben Roethlisberger knocked out of the game. Seahawks defense surrendering 66.1% completions. Seahawks running back Chris Carson is having ball security issues with a fumble in each game. Seattle run game generates only 4 yards per carry a drop from 4.7 last year and they struggle on third down. Play Arizona +5.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears Pick Prediction 9/29/2019
Vikings at Bears—NFL free pick is Minnesota Vikings +3 points. Vikings 2-1 on the season begin good defensive performance. Their loss came at Green Bay 21-16. Packers offense is an upgrade on the Bears. Chicago on a short week after beating a bad defensive team in the Redskins. Now on a short week the Bears take a step up in class to face the Vikings defense. Vikings run game is generating 193 yards per game for 5.6 yards per rush. Dalvin Cook averaging 6.6 yards per rush on the season with 375 yards and four touchdowns. Chicago in their two meetings with the Vikings last year averaged 162 yards passing per game. Bears managed just three points at home to Green Bay and 16 at Denver. Chicago has been a poor third down offense. They rank 29th in offensive yardage. Vikings defense has been good on third down with the offense has been good in the red zone. Play Minnesota +3.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Denver Broncos Pick Prediction 9/29/2019
Jaguars at Broncos—Free pick is Jacksonville Jaguars +3. Jaguars have extra rest after beating division rival Tennessee 20-7 on a Thursday night behind nine sacks. Jacksonville defense finds a sitting target in Broncos quarterback Joe Flacco. Denver is winless team at 0-3 after dropping a 27-16 decision at Green Bay. Denver is posting only 15.3 points per game. On defense Broncos do allow 67.1% completion rate. Gardner Minshew has shown accuracy with a 74% completion rate with five touchdowns and a pick. That was against the Chiefs, Texans and Titans. Denver has been poor offensively and defensively in the red zone. Jaguars defense fifth best in red zone. Broncos have allowed 11 sacks in three games and on defense has not recorded a sack. Play Jacksonville +3.
Dallas Cowboys vs. New Orleans Saints Pick Prediction 9/29/2019
Cowboys at Saints—NFL pick Dallas Cowboys -2.5. Cowboys despite facing poor defenses has been able to move the football for 481 yards per game with 5.5 per rush. Dak Prescott has been accurate under center as the Cowboys produce 302 yards passing with 74.5% completion rate. Must be concerned about a New Orleans defense that surrenders 436 yards with 301 passing. Teams are rushing for 5.1 yards a carry against New Orleans and Dallas has a good running back in Ezekiel Elliot. Saints facing a good defense will be without starting quarterback Drew Brees. Teddy Bridgewater gets the start. Last week Bridgewater was 19 of 27 for 177 yards and two touchdowns. But now Bridgewater is on tape for the Cowboys to game plan against. In his time with the Vikings, Bridgewater was a dink and dunk passer who struggled with accuracy downfield. Saints offense produced 19 points as they were aided to victory by a defensive and special teams touchdown. Cowboys offense best on third down and defense second best. Dallas offense with their balanced attack has converted 9 of 11 inside the red zone. New Orleans defense bottom third in the league on third down and red zone. Play Dallas -2.5.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Pick Prediction 9/30/2019
Bengals at Steelers—NFL free pick Cincinnati Bengals +4. Bengals have covered two of three as they have been competitive covering in losses at Seattle and Buffalo. On the road the Bengals defense is allowing 21 points per game. Behind veteran quarterback Andy Dalton the Bengals are throwing for 308 yards per game. Steelers defense has been poor by allowing 442 yards per game with 302 passing and 74% completion rate. Steelers offense generating only 269 yards with 56.5% completion rate. Steelers lost Ben Roethlisberger for the season with an elbow injury. With a +3 turnover margin the Steelers still lost 24-20 at San Francisco. Mason Rudolph completed only 14 of 27 passes at the 49ers. Pittsburgh gave up 168 yards rushing and 268 passing to the 49ers offense. Steeles offense 29th on third down and the defense 26th. Tough to lay points with the way the Steelers are defending. Cincinnati has covered six straight on the road. Play Cincinnati +4.