Free NBA Picks For Today 2/23/2019
Portland Trailblazers vs. Philadelphia 76ers Pick Prediction 2/23/2019
Trailblazers vs. 76ers—NBA pick is Philadelphia 76ers -2. 76ers will be without Joel Embiid but Jimmy Butler and Tobias Harris will play. 76ers have depth with their recent acquisitions. Team has won two straight and four of their past five games after their 106-102 home win to Miami to come off the break. Look for the team to be in better shooting form with a game under their belt after the break. 76ers in good shooting form hitting the break as in their past five games are hitting on 51.3% with 37.7% from three. Portland has not been a strong road team this season with an 11-15 straight up record. They have dropped and failed to cover two of three away from home. What is concerning about Portland on the road has been the drop in defensive efficiency as the team surrenders 46.5% shooting with 36.9% from three on the highway. 76ers a good shooting team at home converting on 48.7% and 37.8% from three point range. Play Philadelphia -2.
Indiana Pacers vs. Washington Wizards Pick Prediction 2/23/2019
Pacers at Wizards—NBA free pick is Indiana Pacers -1. Both teams are on back to backs. Pacers in this spot this season has covered seven of ten games. Indiana has now won seven of their past eight games after their blowout home win to New Orleans on Friday night. This is a team that continued their strong offensive showing they had at the break in their win against the Pelicans. In their past five games the Pacers are shooting 52.1% with 41% from three point range while limiting opponents to 41.9% shooting. Difficult to back this Washington team. Their have not looked good defensively. They returned from the break and dropped a 13 point decision at Charlotte on Friday night giving up 65 first half points. Defensively in their past five games the Wizards are giving up 49.5% shooting with 41.2% from three point range. Wizards sit 26th in the NBA defensive efficiency ratings by allowing 113.4 points per 100 possessions. Indiana is second allowing 104.6 points per 100 possessions. Play Indiana -1.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Pick Prediction 2/23/2019
Grizzlies at Cavaliers—Free pick is Cleveland Cavaliers -2. Cleveland is showing an effort to wins games. Team has won two of three after their 111-98 home victory to Phoenix on Thursday. Cavs have covered six of their past ten games and almost covered at home to Brooklyn as a +7.5 underdog but the game went into overtime. Cavaliers are hitting threes as in their past five games are shooting 37.2%. Memphis is on a back to back after hosting the LA Clippers on Friday and losing failing to cover. Grizzlies are 2-6 straight up and against the spread in back to back spots. In back to backs they are three points fewer than overall average and giving up six points greater than overall average. Grizzlies do not look like a playoff team this year so they may look to tinker with their fourth quarter lineup to put them in position for a better draft pick. Play Cleveland -2.
LA Lakers vs. New Orleans Pelicans Pick Prediction 2/23/2019
Lakers at Pelicans—NBA pick is play LA Lakers against the spread. LA came off the break beating the Houston Rockets on Thursday night. LeBron James signaled it was time to get into playoff mode as the team is outside the playoffs now. They are shooting well as in their past five games hitting on 47.6% with 36.5% from three. New Orleans is on a back to back after getting blown out by 15 at Indiana on Friday night. Anthony Davis saw only 19 minutes and may not see much if any time in a back to back spot here. It is obvious that the Pelicans are limiting minutes to their top players to position for the draft. Pelicans defense has been poor over their past five games allowing 46.9% overall shooting. New Orleans is 1-9 straight up in back to back games on the season. They score five points fewer than overall average and allow three points greater than overall average in this spot. Pelicans sit 24th in the league in the defensive efficiency report giving up 112.4 points per 100 possessions. Play LA Lakers against the spread.
Phoenix Suns vs. Atlanta Hawks Pick Prediction 2/23/2019
Suns at Hawks—NBA free pick is Phoenix Suns +3. Tough to back Atlanta in this spot as they are in a back end of a back to back after hosting Detroit on Friday night. Atlanta is 1-6 against the spread in this spot. They average three point below overall average in this spot. Suns have gotten covers in recent games against the Warriors, Rockets and Spurs. Hawks come off the break losing at home to Detroit 125-122. Hawks defense has been poor as in their past five games are allowing 47.2% shooting with 37.4% from three. Atlanta is just 2-10 against the spread against under .500 teams. Prefer to take the Hawks as underdogs facing teams who are fatigue from excess travel and high volume of games over a short period of time. Booker and Ayton are healthy. Play Phoenix +3.
Brooklyn Nets vs. Charlotte Hornets Pick Prediction 2/23/2019
Nets at Hornets—NBA pick is Charlotte Hornets -2. Charlotte continued their good play at home as they defeat Washington at home Friday night 123-110. Hornets are now 20-9 on their home court. Charlotte shoots well at home as the team converts on 46.5% with 37.1% from three. Nets losses continue to pile up as they get blown out at home to Portland off the break 113-99 for their seventh loss in ten games. Shine could be coming off this Brooklyn team. Hornets did defeat Brooklyn at home two months ago 100-87 as a -4.5 favorite. Nets defensive form as not been good as in their past five games are giving up 49.1% shooting with 36.3% from three. Play Charlotte -2.
Detroit Pistons vs. Miami Heat Pick Prediction 2/23/2019
Pistons at Heat—NBA free pick is Miami Heat -3.5. Heat have covered four of their past five against Detroit. Miami will be the rested team after a competitive loss at Philadelphia on Thursday 106-102 covering as a +5.5 underdog. Heat has covered three of their past four games. Heat are shooting better as in their past five games are hitting on 46.3%. Detroit is on a back to back after a close road win at Atlanta on Friday. Team is 10-17 straight up on the road this season. Pistons did move out their three point shooter Reggie Bullock to the Lakers so you have to worry about the depth of Detroit in this spot. Pistons bench doesn’t contributed a lot of scoring to the team so if the Detroit starters fatigue there won’t be enough help. Miami is in the better defensive form as the Pistons in their past five games are allowing 46.1% shooting. Play Miami -3.5.
Boston Celtics vs. Chicago Bulls Pick Prediction 2/23/2019
Celtics at Bulls—Free pick is Boston Celtics -10.5. Boston will have a day of rest after their one point loss but cover at Milwaukee on Thursday. Bulls will be on a back to back after a close win at Orlando on Friday night. In this spot Chicago averages six fewer points than overall average. Celtics have dominated Chicago this season with a 111-82 home win and 133-77 on the road covering huge spread in this game. Boston had had success against Chicago winning and covering the spread in nine of their past ten meetings. Boston has covered three straight. Their three point form is good as in their past five games hitting on 39.5% from beyond the arc. Bulls defense has been atrocious as the team surrenders 49.7% shooting in that span. Chicago does sit last in the NBA offensive efficiency ratings averaging 103.5 points per 1000 possessions. Play Boston -10.5.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Milwaukee Bucks Pick Prediction 2/23/2019
Timberwolves at Bucks—NBA pick is Milwaukee Bucks minus the points. The team is coming off a home win to Boston on Thursday night. Milwaukee has now won three straight and nine of their past ten games covering eight. Bucks defensively has been sharp as in their past five games are allowing 41.2% shooting. Timberwolves are 2-5 straight up in back to back games as they allow five points above overall average. Bucks have covered 24 of 35 games with a day of rest. Timberwolves have failed to cover their past four in Milwaukee and 2-8 to the spread overall against the Bucks. Milwaukee is number one in the NBA efficiency ratings as they allow only 103.8 points per 100 possessions. Play Milwaukee minus the points.
Houston Rockets vs. Golden St Warriors Pick Prediction 2/23/2019
Rockets at Warriors—NBA free pick is Houston Rockets +8.5. Tough to back the Golden St Warriors as the team is winning but not covering inflated point spread numbers. Golden St has failed to cover five straight and seven of their past eight games. Houston has gotten healthier as Clint Capela is back with the team. With one game under their belt after the All Star Break the Rockets will enter play in better shooting form in this spot. Houston has won and covered both meetings against the Warriors this season. Rockets sit second in the NBA efficiency ratings as they average 114.8 points per 100 possessions. After this game the Warriors hit the road for an east coast trip hitting the court in Charlotte with only a day of rest. I don’t expect a big push from Golden St facing a heavy workload of games back east next week. Play Houston +8.5.
Sacramento Kings vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Pick Prediction 2/23/2019
Kings at Thunder—Free pick Sacramento Kings +7. Sacramento has a day of rest after their 125-123 road loss at Golden St on Thursday covering as a +12.5 underdog. Kings have been a good spread team covering eight of their past ten games. Their defensive form is good as in their past five games holding teams to 44.3% shooting and 34% from three point range. With one day of rest or greater the Kings have covered 33 of 48 games. That is 33-15 ATS. OKC is in a tough spot a back to back after winning and not covering in double overtime against the Utah Jazz. Thunder averages two points fewer than overall average in back to back games. Westbrook played 43 minutes and Paul George over 50. Steven Adams logged in 47 minutes. Grant played 41 minutes. OKC bench was shot poorly hitting 5 of 26 shots. Can only look at the Kings in this spot. Play Sacramento +7.
Dallas Mavericks Utah Jazz Pick Prediction 2/23/2019
Mavericks at Jazz—NBA pick is Dallas Mavericks +10.5. Both teams on back to backs in this spots. Dallas distributed minutes to lots of players on their roster as they played the front end of a back to back losing at home to Denver. No Mavericks played more than 30 minutes and at least 12 players saw 10 minutes or greater on the court. Tough spot for the Jazz dropping a double overtime game in Oklahoma City. Utah lacks depth on their bench. Donovan Mitchell played over 45 minutes. Gobert 44 minutes. Joe Ingles saw 46 minutes. Rubio played 41 minutes. Other than Jae Crowder the bench supplied very little for Utah on Friday night. Mavericks have the fresher legs and getting double digits. Play Dallas +10.5.
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